Banc Of Stock Forward View
| BANC Stock | USD 20.66 0.34 1.62% |
Banc Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Banc Of stock prices and determine the direction of Banc of California's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Banc Of's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Banc Of's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.519 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3691 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7085 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.0651 | Wall Street Target Price 23.65 |
Using Banc Of hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Banc of California from the perspective of Banc Of response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Banc Of using Banc Of's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Banc using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Banc Of's stock price.
Banc Of Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Banc Of's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Banc. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Banc Of stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 16.5365 | Short Percent 0.0708 | Short Ratio 4.87 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.5 M | 50 Day MA 19.8034 |
Banc Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banc of California on the next trading day is expected to be 20.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.51.Banc of California Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Banc Of's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Banc. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Banc can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Banc of California. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Banc Of's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Banc Of.
Banc Of Implied Volatility | 0.93 |
Banc Of's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Banc of California stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Banc Of's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Banc Of stock will not fluctuate a lot when Banc Of's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banc of California on the next trading day is expected to be 20.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.51. Banc Of after-hype prediction price | USD 20.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banc Of to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Banc contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Banc of California will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0581% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Banc Of trading at USD 20.66, that is roughly USD 0.012 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Banc Of's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Banc of California options at the current volatility level of 0.93%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Banc Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Banc Of's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Banc Of's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Banc Of stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Banc Of's open interest, investors have to compare it to Banc Of's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Banc Of is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Banc. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Banc Of Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Banc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Banc using various technical indicators. When you analyze Banc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Banc Of Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Banc Of's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2000-12-31 | Previous Quarter 2.4 B | Current Value 2.3 B | Quarterly Volatility 866.8 M |
Banc Of Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banc of California on the next trading day is expected to be 20.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banc Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banc Of's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Banc Of Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Banc Of | Banc Of Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Banc Of Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Banc Of's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Banc Of's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.70 and 22.36, respectively. We have considered Banc Of's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banc Of stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banc Of stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9426 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2825 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0148 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.5145 |
Predictive Modules for Banc Of
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banc of California. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Banc Of After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Banc Of at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Banc Of or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Banc Of, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Banc Of Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Banc Of's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Banc Of's historical news coverage. Banc Of's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.76 and 22.42, respectively. We have considered Banc Of's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Banc Of is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Banc of California is based on 3 months time horizon.
Banc Of Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Banc Of is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Banc Of backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Banc Of, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 1.83 | 0.07 | 0.42 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.66 | 20.59 | 0.34 |
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Banc Of Hype Timeline
Banc of California is currently traded for 20.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.42. Banc is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.59. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.34%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Banc Of is about 152.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.24. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.07. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Banc of California has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.15. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banc Of to cross-verify your projections.Banc Of Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Banc Of's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Banc Of's future price movements. Getting to know how Banc Of's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Banc Of may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SBCF | Seacoast Banking | (0.14) | 10 per month | 1.28 | 0.06 | 2.91 | (2.01) | 8.79 | |
| BOH | Bank of Hawaii | (2.99) | 7 per month | 1.12 | 0.13 | 2.56 | (1.52) | 8.71 | |
| CVBF | CVB Financial | (0.24) | 10 per month | 1.34 | 0.07 | 3.01 | (1.98) | 9.56 | |
| PRK | Park National | (1.40) | 8 per month | 1.26 | 0.07 | 2.93 | (1.73) | 9.22 | |
| SFNC | Simmons First National | (0.14) | 23 per month | 1.10 | 0.14 | 3.23 | (1.58) | 13.76 | |
| TOWN | Towne Bank | 0.18 | 26 per month | 1.22 | 0.07 | 2.71 | (1.75) | 7.41 | |
| WSBC | WesBanco | 0.70 | 8 per month | 1.29 | 0.14 | 2.95 | (1.72) | 9.48 | |
| PFS | Provident Financial Services | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.97 | 0.17 | 3.51 | (1.69) | 10.08 | |
| TBBK | The Bancorp | (7.57) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.57 | (4.30) | 20.77 | |
| CBU | Community Bank System | (0.47) | 8 per month | 1.02 | 0.11 | 2.35 | (1.63) | 8.66 |
Other Forecasting Options for Banc Of
For every potential investor in Banc, whether a beginner or expert, Banc Of's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Banc Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Banc. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Banc Of's price trends.Banc Of Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Banc Of stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Banc Of could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Banc Of by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Banc Of Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Banc Of stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Banc Of shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Banc Of stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Banc of California entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 51806.89 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.72 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.7 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.23) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.34) |
Banc Of Risk Indicators
The analysis of Banc Of's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Banc Of's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting banc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Variance | 3.17 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.41) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Banc Of
The number of cover stories for Banc Of depends on current market conditions and Banc Of's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Banc Of is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Banc Of's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Banc Of Short Properties
Banc Of's future price predictability will typically decrease when Banc Of's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Banc of California often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Banc Of's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banc Of's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 160.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banc Of to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Banc diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Banc Of. Projected growth potential of Banc fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Banc Of data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.519 | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share 1.17 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.115 |
Understanding Banc of California requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Banc's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Banc Of's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Banc Of's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Banc Of's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Banc Of should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Banc Of's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.