Brookdale Senior Living Stock Price Prediction
| BKD Stock | USD 5.56 0.08 1.46% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.15) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.78) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.68) | Wall Street Target Price 7.375 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.17) |
Using Brookdale Senior hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brookdale Senior Living from the perspective of Brookdale Senior response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Brookdale Senior to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Brookdale because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Brookdale Senior after-hype prediction price | USD 5.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Brookdale |
Brookdale Senior After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Brookdale Senior at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brookdale Senior or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brookdale Senior, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Brookdale Senior Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Brookdale Senior's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brookdale Senior's historical news coverage. Brookdale Senior's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.74 and 8.42, respectively. We have considered Brookdale Senior's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Brookdale Senior is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brookdale Senior Living is based on 3 months time horizon.
Brookdale Senior Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brookdale Senior is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brookdale Senior backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brookdale Senior, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.84 | 0.02 | 1.22 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.56 | 5.58 | 0.36 |
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Brookdale Senior Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Brookdale Senior Living is traded for 5.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.22. Brookdale is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.58 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Brookdale Senior is about 86.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.34. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.87 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (189.07 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 685 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Brookdale Senior Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Brookdale Senior Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Brookdale Senior's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brookdale Senior's future price movements. Getting to know how Brookdale Senior's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brookdale Senior may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ENSG | The Ensign Group | (13.99) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.32 | (2.11) | 10.08 | |
| CYH | Community Health Systems | (0.30) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.15 | (6.25) | 30.14 | |
| NHC | National HealthCare | (1.20) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.12 | (3.57) | 11.56 | |
| MD | Mednax Inc | (0.04) | 7 per month | 1.48 | 0.09 | 3.63 | (2.85) | 27.59 | |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings | (0.90) | 9 per month | 1.73 | 0.01 | 2.92 | (2.50) | 14.58 |
Brookdale Senior Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Brookdale price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brookdale using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brookdale charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Brookdale Senior Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Brookdale Senior stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Brookdale Senior Living, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Brookdale Senior based on analysis of Brookdale Senior hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Brookdale Senior's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Brookdale Senior's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 3.25 | 3.04 | Dividend Yield | 0.26 | 0.21 |
Story Coverage note for Brookdale Senior
The number of cover stories for Brookdale Senior depends on current market conditions and Brookdale Senior's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brookdale Senior is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brookdale Senior's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Brookdale Senior Short Properties
Brookdale Senior's future price predictability will typically decrease when Brookdale Senior's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brookdale Senior Living often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brookdale Senior's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brookdale Senior's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 225.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 307.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Brookdale Stock analysis
When running Brookdale Senior's price analysis, check to measure Brookdale Senior's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brookdale Senior is operating at the current time. Most of Brookdale Senior's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brookdale Senior's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brookdale Senior's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brookdale Senior to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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