Brookdale Senior Living Stock Price Patterns

BKD Stock  USD 15.00  0.50  3.45%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Brookdale Senior's stock price is about 64 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Brookdale, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Brookdale Senior's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Brookdale Senior and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Brookdale Senior's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Brookdale Senior Living, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Brookdale Senior's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.18)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.13)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.62)
Wall Street Target Price
15.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.18)
Using Brookdale Senior hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brookdale Senior Living from the perspective of Brookdale Senior response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Brookdale Senior using Brookdale Senior's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Brookdale using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Brookdale Senior's stock price.

Brookdale Senior Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Brookdale Senior's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Brookdale. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Brookdale Senior stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
8.4736
Short Percent
0.0809
Short Ratio
5.84
Shares Short Prior Month
22.1 M
50 Day MA
11.1918

Brookdale Senior Living Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Brookdale Senior's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Brookdale. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Brookdale can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Brookdale Senior Living. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Brookdale Senior's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Brookdale Senior.

Brookdale Senior Implied Volatility

    
  0.69  
Brookdale Senior's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Brookdale Senior Living stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Brookdale Senior's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Brookdale Senior stock will not fluctuate a lot when Brookdale Senior's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Brookdale Senior to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Brookdale because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Brookdale Senior after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Brookdale contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Brookdale Senior Living will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0431% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Brookdale Senior trading at USD 15.0, that is roughly USD 0.006469 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Brookdale Senior's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Brookdale Senior Living options at the current volatility level of 0.69%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Brookdale Senior Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.2015.5217.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.5014.8317.15
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.1115.5017.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.15-0.15-0.15
Details

Brookdale Senior After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Brookdale Senior at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brookdale Senior or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brookdale Senior, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Brookdale Senior Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Brookdale Senior's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brookdale Senior's historical news coverage. Brookdale Senior's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.18 and 16.82, respectively. We have considered Brookdale Senior's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.00
14.50
After-hype Price
16.82
Upside
Brookdale Senior is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brookdale Senior Living is based on 3 months time horizon.

Brookdale Senior Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brookdale Senior is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brookdale Senior backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brookdale Senior, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.84 
2.35
  3.52 
  0.96 
32 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 32 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.00
14.50
0.00 
56.09  
Notes

Brookdale Senior Hype Timeline

On the 31st of January Brookdale Senior Living is traded for 15.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 3.52, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.96. Brookdale is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 56.09%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.84%. %. The volatility of related hype on Brookdale Senior is about 206.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.96. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.32. Brookdale Senior Living last dividend was issued on the 8th of October 2008. The entity had 5:6 split on the 8th of April 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 32 days.
Check out Brookdale Senior Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Brookdale Senior Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Brookdale Senior's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brookdale Senior's future price movements. Getting to know how Brookdale Senior's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brookdale Senior may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ADUSAddus HomeCare(1.87)10 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.84 (3.93) 11.54 
ARDTArdent Health Partners 0.10 7 per month 0.00 (0.17) 3.47 (3.69) 36.66 
NHCNational HealthCare 2.37 6 per month 1.62  0.09  2.84 (2.20) 9.28 
COGTCogent Biosciences 0.32 9 per month 2.18  0.13  5.94 (4.44) 126.24 
ACHCAcadia Healthcare(1.87)13 per month 0.00 (0.18) 5.71 (7.74) 33.41 
RCUSArcus Biosciences 4.19 10 per month 4.05  0.09  6.88 (6.53) 21.81 
IBRXImmunitybio(0.19)6 per month 4.26  0.19  11.16 (7.49) 51.87 
ETNB89bio Inc 4.19 20 per month 1.83  0.09  3.02 (4.66) 86.02 
AVAHAveanna Healthcare Holdings(0.04)8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.50 (5.27) 16.94 
DNLIDenali Therapeutics 4.19 14 per month 2.97  0.12  6.50 (4.21) 23.32 

Brookdale Senior Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Brookdale price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brookdale using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brookdale charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Brookdale Senior Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Brookdale Senior stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Brookdale Senior Living, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Brookdale Senior based on analysis of Brookdale Senior hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Brookdale Senior's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Brookdale Senior's related companies.
 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.260.21
Price To Sales Ratio0.440.42

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Complementary Tools for Brookdale Stock analysis

When running Brookdale Senior's price analysis, check to measure Brookdale Senior's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brookdale Senior is operating at the current time. Most of Brookdale Senior's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brookdale Senior's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brookdale Senior's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brookdale Senior to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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