Bank Of Montreal Stock Price Patterns
| BMO Stock | USD 141.02 0.90 0.64% |
Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.011 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.7108 | EPS Estimate Next Year 15.6278 | Wall Street Target Price 128.1704 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 3.0322 |
Using Bank of Montreal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank of Montreal from the perspective of Bank of Montreal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bank of Montreal using Bank of Montreal's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bank using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bank of Montreal's stock price.
Bank of Montreal Short Interest
An investor who is long Bank of Montreal may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Bank of Montreal and may potentially protect profits, hedge Bank of Montreal with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 120.7372 | Short Percent 0.0033 | Short Ratio 10.47 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.3 M | 50 Day MA 133.9908 |
Bank of Montreal Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Bank of Montreal's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Bank. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bank can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bank of Montreal. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bank of Montreal's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bank of Montreal.
Bank of Montreal Implied Volatility | 0.24 |
Bank of Montreal's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bank of Montreal stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bank of Montreal's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bank of Montreal stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bank of Montreal's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bank of Montreal to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bank of Montreal after-hype prediction price | USD 140.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bank contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bank of Montreal will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.015% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Bank of Montreal trading at USD 141.02, that is roughly USD 0.0212 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bank of Montreal's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bank of Montreal options at the current volatility level of 0.24%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Bank of Montreal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Bank of Montreal After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bank of Montreal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank of Montreal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bank of Montreal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bank of Montreal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bank of Montreal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank of Montreal's historical news coverage. Bank of Montreal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 139.40 and 141.94, respectively. We have considered Bank of Montreal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bank of Montreal is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank of Montreal is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bank of Montreal Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank of Montreal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank of Montreal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank of Montreal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.27 | 0.35 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
141.02 | 140.67 | 0.25 |
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Bank of Montreal Hype Timeline
On the 14th of February 2026 Bank of Montreal is traded for 141.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.35, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Bank is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 140.67. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 93.38%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Bank of Montreal is about 858.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 141.06. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.56. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bank of Montreal has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.48. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.49. The firm last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. Bank of Montreal had 2:1 split on the 15th of March 2001. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Bank of Montreal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bank of Montreal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bank of Montreal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank of Montreal's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank of Montreal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank of Montreal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BNS | Bank of Nova | (0.86) | 8 per month | 0.94 | 0.13 | 1.69 | (1.75) | 6.23 | |
| CM | Canadian Imperial Bank | 0.71 | 8 per month | 1.06 | 0.1 | 2.10 | (1.92) | 7.15 | |
| MFG | Mizuho Financial Group | 0.21 | 7 per month | 1.13 | 0.30 | 3.35 | (2.77) | 7.66 | |
| ING | ING Group NV | 0.28 | 10 per month | 1.62 | 0.08 | 2.67 | (2.64) | 6.93 | |
| BCS | Barclays PLC ADR | (0.43) | 5 per month | 1.56 | 0.09 | 2.94 | (2.49) | 7.10 | |
| MMC | Marsh McLennan Companies | (1.91) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.97 | (1.64) | 9.33 | |
| NU | Nu Holdings | 0.57 | 9 per month | 2.31 | 0.01 | 3.85 | (3.65) | 11.48 | |
| UBS | UBS Group AG | 0.62 | 9 per month | 1.75 | 0.05 | 2.57 | (2.62) | 10.86 | |
| SMFG | Sumitomo Mitsui Financial | 0.19 | 9 per month | 0.98 | 0.29 | 2.99 | (1.92) | 8.31 | |
| WFC | Wells Fargo | 2.10 | 6 per month | 1.71 | (0.02) | 2.23 | (2.85) | 8.11 |
Bank of Montreal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bank of Montreal Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bank of Montreal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bank of Montreal, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bank of Montreal based on analysis of Bank of Montreal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bank of Montreal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bank of Montreal's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0416 | 0.04 | 0.046 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.18 | 1.61 | 1.45 |
Pair Trading with Bank of Montreal
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bank of Montreal position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bank of Montreal will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Bank Stock
| 0.76 | C | Citigroup Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.92 | CM | Canadian Imperial Bank | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | KB | KB Financial Group | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | NU | Nu Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | RY | Royal Bank | PairCorr |
| 0.88 | TD | Toronto Dominion Bank | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bank of Montreal could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bank of Montreal when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bank of Montreal - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bank of Montreal to buy it.
The correlation of Bank of Montreal is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bank of Montreal moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bank of Montreal moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bank of Montreal can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Bank of Montreal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Bank Stock, please use our How to Invest in Bank of Montreal guide.You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Will Diversified Banks sector continue expanding? Could Bank diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bank of Montreal. Projected growth potential of Bank fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Bank of Montreal data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.011 | Dividend Share 6.44 | Earnings Share 8.49 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.155 |
Bank of Montreal's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Bank's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Bank of Montreal's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Bank of Montreal's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Bank of Montreal's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bank of Montreal should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Bank of Montreal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.