Boston Pizza Royalties Stock Price Prediction

BPF-UN Stock  CAD 17.31  0.16  0.92%   
As of today, the relative strength indicator of Boston Pizza's share price is approaching 47 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Boston Pizza, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Boston Pizza's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Boston Pizza Royalties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Boston Pizza's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.44)
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.53
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.56
Wall Street Target Price
18.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.32
Using Boston Pizza hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Boston Pizza Royalties from the perspective of Boston Pizza response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Boston Pizza to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Boston because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Boston Pizza after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 17.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Boston Pizza Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Boston Pizza's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.5417.3018.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.6917.4618.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.380.380.38
Details

Boston Pizza After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Boston Pizza at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Boston Pizza or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Boston Pizza, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Boston Pizza Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Boston Pizza's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Boston Pizza's historical news coverage. Boston Pizza's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.56 and 18.08, respectively. We have considered Boston Pizza's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.31
17.32
After-hype Price
18.08
Upside
Boston Pizza is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Boston Pizza Royalties is based on 3 months time horizon.

Boston Pizza Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Boston Pizza is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Boston Pizza backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Boston Pizza, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
0.76
  0.01 
 0.00  
3 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.31
17.32
0.06 
760.00  
Notes

Boston Pizza Hype Timeline

Boston Pizza Royalties is currently traded for 17.31on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Boston is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Boston Pizza is about 3600.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.31. The company reported the revenue of 49.19 M. Net Income was 29.57 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 35.15 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Boston Pizza Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Boston Pizza Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Boston Pizza's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Boston Pizza's future price movements. Getting to know how Boston Pizza's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Boston Pizza may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AAPLApple Inc CDR 0.28 1 per month 1.20 (0.05) 2.09 (2.37) 6.39 
BRKBerkshire Hathaway CDR 0.00 0 per month 0.90 (0.03) 1.45 (1.72) 7.22 
MSFTMicrosoft Corp CDR 0.21 1 per month 1.48 (0.09) 2.03 (1.83) 8.19 
GOOGAlphabet Inc CDR 0.00 0 per month 1.86 (0.05) 2.16 (2.52) 8.60 
JPMJPMorgan Chase Co(0.08)5 per month 1.40  0.06  1.88 (2.18) 16.24 
AMZNAmazon CDR 0.00 0 per month 1.52  0.05  2.80 (2.97) 10.08 
NVDANVIDIA CDR(0.54)1 per month 2.92  0.02  4.21 (4.24) 13.95 
BOFABank of America(0.06)2 per month 0.65  0.11  2.50 (1.43) 10.15 
TD-PFDToronto Dominion Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.27 (0.21) 0.66 (0.66) 2.45 

Boston Pizza Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Boston price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Boston using various technical indicators. When you analyze Boston charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Boston Pizza Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Boston Pizza stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Boston Pizza Royalties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Boston Pizza based on analysis of Boston Pizza hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Boston Pizza's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Boston Pizza's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.06730.07840.08280.0857
Price To Sales Ratio9.467.146.679.42

Story Coverage note for Boston Pizza

The number of cover stories for Boston Pizza depends on current market conditions and Boston Pizza's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Boston Pizza is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Boston Pizza's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Boston Pizza Short Properties

Boston Pizza's future price predictability will typically decrease when Boston Pizza's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Boston Pizza Royalties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Boston Pizza's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boston Pizza's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.6 M

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When running Boston Pizza's price analysis, check to measure Boston Pizza's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boston Pizza is operating at the current time. Most of Boston Pizza's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boston Pizza's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boston Pizza's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boston Pizza to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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