Peabody Energy Corp Stock Price Prediction
| BTU Stock | USD 25.99 1.42 5.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.73 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.8167 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.5833 | Wall Street Target Price 29.4 |
Using Peabody Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Peabody Energy Corp from the perspective of Peabody Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Peabody Energy Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Peabody Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Peabody. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Peabody can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Peabody Energy Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Peabody Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Peabody Energy.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Peabody Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Peabody because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Peabody Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 25.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Peabody |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Peabody Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Peabody Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Peabody Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Peabody Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Peabody Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Peabody Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Peabody Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Peabody Energy's historical news coverage. Peabody Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.14 and 28.58, respectively. We have considered Peabody Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Peabody Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Peabody Energy Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Peabody Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Peabody Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Peabody Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Peabody Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.72 | 0.13 | 0.32 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.99 | 25.86 | 0.50 |
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Peabody Energy Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Peabody Energy Corp is traded for 25.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.32. Peabody is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 25.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Peabody Energy is about 170.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.31. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.92. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Peabody Energy Corp last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the February 23, 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Peabody Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Peabody Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Peabody Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Peabody Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Peabody Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Peabody Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARLP | Alliance Resource Partners | 0.35 | 6 per month | 0.94 | 0.14 | 2.38 | (1.23) | 7.48 | |
| NRP | Natural Resource Partners | 4.96 | 6 per month | 1.01 | 0.12 | 3.98 | (1.91) | 9.46 | |
| HNRG | Hallador Energy | 0.13 | 7 per month | 2.72 | 0.21 | 10.23 | (5.09) | 29.61 | |
| NC | NACCO Industries | 0.44 | 9 per month | 1.84 | 0.05 | 6.39 | (2.97) | 12.54 | |
| CEIX | Consol Energy | 5.27 | 9 per month | 1.41 | 0.17 | 5.15 | (1.97) | 14.10 | |
| ITAYY | Indo Tambangraya Megah | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.51 | (1.75) | 17.93 | |
| ADOOY | Adaro Energy Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.33 | (0.01) | 5.94 | (5.17) | 24.68 |
Peabody Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Peabody price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Peabody using various technical indicators. When you analyze Peabody charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Peabody Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Peabody Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Peabody Energy Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Peabody Energy based on analysis of Peabody Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Peabody Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Peabody Energy's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.00823 | 0.007818 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.68 | 0.78 |
Story Coverage note for Peabody Energy
The number of cover stories for Peabody Energy depends on current market conditions and Peabody Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Peabody Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Peabody Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Peabody Energy Short Properties
Peabody Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Peabody Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Peabody Energy Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Peabody Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Peabody Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 154.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 969.3 M |
Additional Tools for Peabody Stock Analysis
When running Peabody Energy's price analysis, check to measure Peabody Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Peabody Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Peabody Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Peabody Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Peabody Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Peabody Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.