Core Natural Resources Stock Price Patterns
| CNR Stock | USD 87.06 3.36 3.72% |
Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.81) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7099 | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.74) | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.8304 | Wall Street Target Price 114.75 |
Using Core Natural hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Core Natural Resources from the perspective of Core Natural response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Core Natural using Core Natural's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Core using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Core Natural's stock price.
Core Natural Short Interest
An investor who is long Core Natural may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Core Natural and may potentially protect profits, hedge Core Natural with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 79.5273 | Short Percent 0.0605 | Short Ratio 3.81 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.1 M | 50 Day MA 88.8156 |
Core Natural Resources Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Core Natural's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Core. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Core can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Core Natural Resources. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Core Natural's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Core Natural.
Core Natural Implied Volatility | 0.73 |
Core Natural's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Core Natural Resources stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Core Natural's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Core Natural stock will not fluctuate a lot when Core Natural's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Core Natural to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Core because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Core Natural after-hype prediction price | USD 87.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Core contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Core Natural Resources will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0456% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Core Natural trading at USD 87.06, that is roughly USD 0.0397 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Core Natural's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Core Natural Resources options at the current volatility level of 0.73%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Core Natural Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Core Natural After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Core Natural at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Core Natural or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Core Natural, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Core Natural Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Core Natural's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Core Natural's historical news coverage. Core Natural's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 84.62 and 89.50, respectively. We have considered Core Natural's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Core Natural is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Core Natural Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Core Natural Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Core Natural is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Core Natural backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Core Natural, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 2.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 32 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
87.06 | 87.06 | 0.00 |
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Core Natural Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February Core Natural Resources is traded for 87.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Core is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Core Natural is about 1441.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 87.06. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Core Natural Resources has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.35. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.4. The firm last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. Core Natural had 1:5 split on the 8th of March 2010. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 32 days. Check out Core Natural Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Core Natural Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Core Natural's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Core Natural's future price movements. Getting to know how Core Natural's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Core Natural may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HCC | Warrior Met Coal | 1.07 | 10 per month | 2.43 | 0.10 | 4.12 | (3.54) | 32.09 | |
| BTU | Peabody Energy Corp | 0.65 | 9 per month | 2.28 | 0.11 | 5.58 | (4.16) | 15.25 | |
| ARLP | Alliance Resource Partners | (0.30) | 9 per month | 1.08 | 0 | 1.93 | (1.99) | 5.25 | |
| MGY | Magnolia Oil Gas | 0.16 | 7 per month | 1.45 | 0.13 | 2.97 | (2.90) | 7.67 | |
| UGP | Ultrapar Participacoes SA | 0.17 | 6 per month | 2.28 | 0.16 | 3.92 | (2.79) | 13.99 | |
| VVV | Valvoline | (0.57) | 11 per month | 1.64 | 0.04 | 3.83 | (2.86) | 8.27 | |
| VAL | Valaris | (0.96) | 7 per month | 2.47 | 0.04 | 3.95 | (3.39) | 13.35 | |
| PBF | PBF Energy | 0.21 | 9 per month | 3.47 | 0.02 | 6.13 | (5.32) | 19.17 | |
| MUR | Murphy Oil | 1.65 | 9 per month | 2.71 | 0.07 | 3.97 | (3.78) | 19.80 | |
| AROC | Archrock | (0.38) | 9 per month | 1.38 | 0.13 | 2.68 | (2.44) | 6.67 |
Core Natural Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Core price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Core using various technical indicators. When you analyze Core charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Core Natural Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Core Natural stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Core Natural Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Core Natural based on analysis of Core Natural hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Core Natural's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Core Natural's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0228 | 0.005009 | 0.00576 | 0.005472 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.32 | 1.47 | 1.33 | 1.39 |
Pair Trading with Core Natural
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Core Natural position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Core Natural will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Core Stock
Moving against Core Stock
| 0.75 | NCL | Northann Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.58 | SWTQ | Schweiter Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.44 | TT | Trane Technologies plc | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | 2VI | Arlo Technologies | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Core Natural could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Core Natural when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Core Natural - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Core Natural Resources to buy it.
The correlation of Core Natural is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Core Natural moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Core Natural Resources moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Core Natural can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Core Stock Analysis
When running Core Natural's price analysis, check to measure Core Natural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Core Natural is operating at the current time. Most of Core Natural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Core Natural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Core Natural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Core Natural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.