Cae Inc Stock Price Patterns

CAE Stock  USD 32.08  0.83  2.66%   
At the present time, The relative strength indicator of CAE's share price is at 57 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CAE, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CAE's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CAE and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CAE's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CAE Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CAE's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.437
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3473
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.2198
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.5147
Wall Street Target Price
33.4773
Using CAE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CAE Inc from the perspective of CAE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CAE using CAE's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CAE using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CAE's stock price.

CAE Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in CAE's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CAE. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CAE stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
28.1324
Short Percent
0.0056
Short Ratio
3.95
Shares Short Prior Month
2.2 M
50 Day MA
30.6418

CAE Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to CAE's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CAE. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CAE can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CAE Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CAE's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CAE.

CAE Implied Volatility

    
  0.43  
CAE's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CAE Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CAE's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CAE stock will not fluctuate a lot when CAE's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CAE to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CAE because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CAE after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 32.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CAE contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CAE Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0269% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With CAE trading at USD 32.08, that is roughly USD 0.008621 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CAE's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CAE Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out CAE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.5533.4835.41
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.4633.4837.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.330.380.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CAE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CAE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CAE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CAE Inc.

CAE After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CAE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CAE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CAE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CAE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CAE's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CAE's historical news coverage. CAE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.20 and 34.06, respectively. We have considered CAE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
32.08
32.13
After-hype Price
34.06
Upside
CAE is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CAE Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

CAE Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CAE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CAE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CAE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
1.93
  0.05 
  0.51 
11 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
32.08
32.13
0.16 
1,072  
Notes

CAE Hype Timeline

On the 10th of February CAE Inc is traded for 32.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.51. CAE is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 32.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on CAE is about 106.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.59. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.71 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 415 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.36 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out CAE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CAE Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CAE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CAE's future price movements. Getting to know how CAE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CAE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DRSLeonardo DRS Common 1.48 7 per month 1.74  0.01  4.41 (2.71) 14.12 
SAROStandardAero(0.27)7 per month 1.82  0.01  3.07 (3.65) 8.19 
MOG-AMoog Inc 6.98 7 per month 0.53  0.33  3.81 (1.61) 11.04 
WTSWatts Water Technologies(1.56)11 per month 1.34  0.09  2.85 (1.61) 9.37 
PSNParsons Corp(0.61)10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.68 (3.07) 25.78 
AALAmerican Airlines Group 0.14 6 per month 2.29  0.07  4.31 (3.77) 13.09 
UHALU Haul Holding 0.14 6 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.78 (2.66) 21.64 
DYDycom Industries 7.13 9 per month 2.11  0.17  4.35 (4.19) 17.10 
RRXRegal Beloit 2.87 6 per month 1.67  0.23  5.90 (3.75) 11.58 

CAE Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CAE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CAE using various technical indicators. When you analyze CAE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CAE Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CAE stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CAE Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CAE based on analysis of CAE hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CAE's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CAE's related companies.
 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0270.0157
Price To Sales Ratio2.161.42

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Complementary Tools for CAE Stock analysis

When running CAE's price analysis, check to measure CAE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CAE is operating at the current time. Most of CAE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CAE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CAE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CAE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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