Caleres Stock Price Prediction
| CAL Stock | USD 31.52 1.06 3.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.15 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.51 | Wall Street Target Price 36.6667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.22 |
Using Continental hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Caleres from the perspective of Continental response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Continental to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Continental because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Continental after-hype prediction price | USD 31.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Continental |
Continental After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Continental at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Continental or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Continental, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Continental Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Continental's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Continental's historical news coverage. Continental's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.42 and 35.20, respectively. We have considered Continental's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Continental is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Continental is based on 3 months time horizon.
Continental Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Continental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Continental backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Continental, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 3.39 | 0.29 | 0.09 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
31.52 | 31.81 | 0.92 |
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Continental Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Continental is traded for 31.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Continental is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 31.81 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.92%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Continental is about 1653.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.43. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.82 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 163.87 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.28 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Continental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Continental Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Continental's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Continental's future price movements. Getting to know how Continental's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Continental may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VRA | Vera Bradley | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.94 | (3.84) | 12.01 | |
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide | (0.36) | 9 per month | 1.24 | 0.19 | 6.82 | (3.08) | 38.54 | |
| RCKY | Rocky Brands | 0.1 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.14 | (4.71) | 34.79 | |
| SHOO | Steven Madden | (0.33) | 11 per month | 1.62 | (0.08) | 2.93 | (2.60) | 8.41 | |
| WEYS | Weyco Group | (0.42) | 8 per month | 2.14 | 0.01 | 3.09 | (3.22) | 25.17 | |
| DBI | Designer Brands | (0.16) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.76 | (7.74) | 19.89 |
Continental Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Continental price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Continental using various technical indicators. When you analyze Continental charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Continental Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Continental stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Caleres, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Continental based on analysis of Continental hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Continental's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Continental's related companies. | 2011 | 2014 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0124 | 0.0164 | 0.0102 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.39 | 0.24 | 0.42 |
Story Coverage note for Continental
The number of cover stories for Continental depends on current market conditions and Continental's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Continental is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Continental's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Continental Short Properties
Continental's future price predictability will typically decrease when Continental's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Caleres often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Continental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Continental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.4 M |
Check out Continental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Continental. If investors know Continental will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Continental listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Dividend Share 0.28 | Earnings Share 4.62 | Revenue Per Share 82.667 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Continental is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Continental that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Continental's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Continental's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Continental's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Continental's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Continental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Continental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Continental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.