Constellation Energy Corp Stock Price Prediction
| CEG Stock | USD 251.84 16.42 6.97% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.69 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.02 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.812 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.2083 | Wall Street Target Price 277.7575 |
Using Constellation Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Constellation Energy Corp from the perspective of Constellation Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Constellation Energy Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Constellation Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Constellation. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Constellation can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Constellation Energy Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Constellation Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Constellation Energy.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Constellation Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Constellation because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Constellation Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 248.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Constellation |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Constellation Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Constellation Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Constellation Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Constellation Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Constellation Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Constellation Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Constellation Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Constellation Energy's historical news coverage. Constellation Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 244.52 and 252.70, respectively. We have considered Constellation Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Constellation Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Constellation Energy Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Constellation Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Constellation Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Constellation Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Constellation Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 4.09 | 3.23 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
251.84 | 248.61 | 1.28 |
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Constellation Energy Hype Timeline
On the 21st of November Constellation Energy Corp is traded for 251.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -3.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Constellation is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 248.61. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 60.77%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.28%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Constellation Energy is about 3013.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 251.77. About 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.06. Constellation Energy Corp last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the May 18, 1992. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Constellation Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Constellation Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Constellation Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Constellation Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Constellation Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Constellation Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AY | Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure | (0.03) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.50) | 0.23 | (0.18) | 0.64 | |
| CWEN-A | Clearway Energy | (0.12) | 7 per month | 2.34 | (0.03) | 2.74 | (2.78) | 15.50 | |
| BEPC | Brookfield Renewable Corp | (1.33) | 9 per month | 2.02 | 0.05 | 4.00 | (2.88) | 16.90 | |
| NEP | Nextera Energy Partners | (1.00) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.19 | (5.54) | 19.99 | |
| BEP | Brookfield Renewable Partners | (0.18) | 9 per month | 1.85 | 0.01 | 4.25 | (2.89) | 15.83 | |
| CWEN | Clearway Energy Class | 1.64 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.64 | (2.89) | 14.79 | |
| AQN | Algonquin Power Utilities | 0.07 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.69 | (2.52) | 6.49 |
Constellation Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Constellation price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Constellation using various technical indicators. When you analyze Constellation charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Constellation Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Constellation Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Constellation Energy Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Constellation Energy based on analysis of Constellation Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Constellation Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Constellation Energy's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.006542 | 0.009694 | 0.009209 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.16 | 1.52 | 1.59 |
Story Coverage note for Constellation Energy
The number of cover stories for Constellation Energy depends on current market conditions and Constellation Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Constellation Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Constellation Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Constellation Energy Short Properties
Constellation Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Constellation Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Constellation Energy Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Constellation Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Constellation Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 324 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 454 M |
Complementary Tools for Constellation Stock analysis
When running Constellation Energy's price analysis, check to measure Constellation Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Constellation Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Constellation Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Constellation Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Constellation Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Constellation Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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