Cfsb Bancorp Stock Price Prediction

CFSB Stock  USD 6.68  0.02  0.30%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of CFSB Bancorp's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CFSB Bancorp, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

59

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CFSB Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CFSB Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CFSB Bancorp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.517
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Using CFSB Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CFSB Bancorp from the perspective of CFSB Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CFSB Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CFSB because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CFSB Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out CFSB Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade CFSB Stock refer to our How to Trade CFSB Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CFSB Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.575.636.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.576.637.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.596.716.82
Details

CFSB Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CFSB Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CFSB Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CFSB Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CFSB Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CFSB Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CFSB Bancorp's historical news coverage. CFSB Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.62 and 7.74, respectively. We have considered CFSB Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.68
6.68
After-hype Price
7.74
Upside
CFSB Bancorp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CFSB Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

CFSB Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CFSB Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CFSB Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CFSB Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
1.05
 0.00  
 0.00  
3 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.68
6.68
0.00 
5,250  
Notes

CFSB Bancorp Hype Timeline

CFSB Bancorp is currently traded for 6.68. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CFSB is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on CFSB Bancorp is about 624.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.68. About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.58. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CFSB Bancorp recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out CFSB Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade CFSB Stock refer to our How to Trade CFSB Stock guide.

CFSB Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CFSB Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CFSB Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how CFSB Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CFSB Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IROQIF Bancorp(0.03)6 per month 1.69  0.09  3.61 (2.59) 14.12 
HBCPHome Bancorp 1.24 7 per month 1.74  0.05  3.67 (3.12) 10.19 
CRZBYCommerzbank AG PK 0.00 0 per month 2.02 (0.01) 3.14 (2.60) 22.28 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
CNOBPConnectOne Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.82  0.03  1.75 (1.61) 5.84 
LSBKLake Shore Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 1.36 (0.01) 3.69 (3.23) 8.64 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.11  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
ISTRInvestar Holding Corp(0.37)9 per month 1.17  0.12  3.41 (2.50) 17.09 
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.30) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 
PVBCProvident Bancorp 0.02 5 per month 1.50  0.04  3.45 (2.37) 9.52 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.75 (4.31) 17.43 
MGYRMagyar Bancorp 0.01 8 per month 0.43  0.1  1.90 (1.22) 3.88 
SSBKSouthern States Bancshares 0.37 6 per month 1.80  0.06  3.90 (2.96) 20.48 
OBTOrange County Bancorp 2.10 10 per month 2.87 (0.02) 4.85 (4.96) 15.06 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.09  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 
CIZNCitizens Holding 0.01 2 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.00 (2.14) 6.16 

CFSB Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CFSB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CFSB using various technical indicators. When you analyze CFSB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CFSB Bancorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CFSB Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CFSB Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CFSB Bancorp based on analysis of CFSB Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CFSB Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CFSB Bancorp's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding52.8468.0646.07
PTB Ratio0.660.541.03

Story Coverage note for CFSB Bancorp

The number of cover stories for CFSB Bancorp depends on current market conditions and CFSB Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CFSB Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CFSB Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CFSB Bancorp Short Properties

CFSB Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when CFSB Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CFSB Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CFSB Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CFSB Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments27 M

Complementary Tools for CFSB Stock analysis

When running CFSB Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure CFSB Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CFSB Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of CFSB Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CFSB Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CFSB Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CFSB Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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