Cherry Hill Mortgage Stock Price Prediction

CHMI Stock  USD 2.54  0.06  2.31%   
As of 22nd of November 2024, the RSI of Cherry Hill's share price is approaching 33 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cherry Hill, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

33

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cherry Hill's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cherry Hill Mortgage, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cherry Hill's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.74)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.19
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.64
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.875
Wall Street Target Price
5
Using Cherry Hill hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cherry Hill Mortgage from the perspective of Cherry Hill response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cherry Hill to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cherry because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Cherry Hill after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Cherry Hill Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.593.355.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.502.274.03
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.015.506.11
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.160.160.16
Details

Cherry Hill After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cherry Hill at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cherry Hill or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cherry Hill, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cherry Hill Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cherry Hill's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cherry Hill's historical news coverage. Cherry Hill's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.78 and 4.30, respectively. We have considered Cherry Hill's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.54
2.54
After-hype Price
4.30
Upside
Cherry Hill is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cherry Hill Mortgage is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cherry Hill Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cherry Hill is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cherry Hill backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cherry Hill, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.45 
1.77
 0.00  
  0.03 
7 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.54
2.54
0.00 
17,700  
Notes

Cherry Hill Hype Timeline

Cherry Hill Mortgage is currently traded for 2.54. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Cherry is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.45%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cherry Hill is about 2360.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.51. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cherry Hill Mortgage recorded a loss per share of 1.58. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2024. The firm had 102-100 split on the 30th of March 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Cherry Hill Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Cherry Hill Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cherry Hill's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cherry Hill's future price movements. Getting to know how Cherry Hill's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cherry Hill may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EFCEllington Financial(0.01)9 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.02 (1.26) 4.21 
BRMKBroadmark Realty Capital(0.15)6 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.02 (4.08) 8.68 
DXDynex Capital(0.05)8 per month 1.03 (0.04) 1.54 (1.52) 4.76 
ACREAres Commercial Real 0.17 7 per month 1.68  0.02  2.88 (2.67) 13.22 
CIMChimera Investment(0.72)7 per month 1.51 (0.07) 1.80 (2.36) 8.55 
ARRARMOUR Residential REIT 0.15 9 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.41 (2.02) 4.86 
ORCOrchid Island Capital(0.13)8 per month 1.35 (0.08) 1.66 (2.11) 6.35 
IVRInvesco Mortgage Capital(0.15)10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.85 (2.89) 6.35 
NYMTNew York Mortgage 0.15 7 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.48 (3.32) 7.18 
TWOTwo Harbors Investments(0.06)8 per month 0.00 (0.23) 1.42 (2.21) 8.41 
ARIApollo Commercial Real 0.05 7 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.23 (2.25) 8.89 
EARNEllington Residential Mortgage(0.15)10 per month 0.00 (0.1) 1.92 (1.85) 5.24 

Cherry Hill Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cherry price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cherry using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cherry charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Cherry Hill Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Cherry Hill stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cherry Hill Mortgage, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cherry Hill based on analysis of Cherry Hill hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cherry Hill's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cherry Hill's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover13.682.631.871.78
Days Of Inventory On Hand3.2K4.0K3.6K1.9K

Story Coverage note for Cherry Hill

The number of cover stories for Cherry Hill depends on current market conditions and Cherry Hill's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cherry Hill is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cherry Hill's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Cherry Hill Short Properties

Cherry Hill's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cherry Hill's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cherry Hill Mortgage often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cherry Hill's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cherry Hill's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments72.4 M

Complementary Tools for Cherry Stock analysis

When running Cherry Hill's price analysis, check to measure Cherry Hill's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cherry Hill is operating at the current time. Most of Cherry Hill's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cherry Hill's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cherry Hill's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cherry Hill to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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