Chewy Inc Stock Price Prediction
| CHWY Stock | USD 34.89 0.98 2.73% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
74
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Chewy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chewy Inc from the perspective of Chewy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chewy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chewy because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chewy after-hype prediction price | USD 34.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Chewy |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chewy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Chewy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chewy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chewy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chewy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chewy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chewy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chewy's historical news coverage. Chewy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.19 and 37.43, respectively. We have considered Chewy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chewy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chewy Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chewy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chewy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chewy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chewy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 3.14 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
34.89 | 34.31 | 1.66 |
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Chewy Hype Timeline
Chewy Inc is currently traded for 34.89. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.2. Chewy is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 34.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.66%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Chewy is about 801.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.09. About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.84. Chewy Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Chewy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Chewy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chewy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chewy's future price movements. Getting to know how Chewy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chewy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SE | Sea | 5.03 | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.16 | 4.65 | (2.83) | 12.95 | |
| W | Wayfair | 0.18 | 11 per month | 3.46 | 0 | 5.74 | (5.23) | 18.38 | |
| MELI | MercadoLibre | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.63 | (0.04) | 2.60 | (2.84) | 20.82 | |
| PDD | PDD Holdings | (0.45) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.85 | (6.40) | 28.51 | |
| ETSY | Etsy Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.33 | (4.28) | 13.37 | |
| OSTK | Overstockcom | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FTCH | Farfetch Ltd Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JD | JD Inc Adr | (0.09) | 8 per month | 3.12 | 0.09 | 6.76 | (6.99) | 23.41 | |
| BABA | Alibaba Group Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.41 | (0.02) | 4.82 | (3.81) | 16.74 | |
| VIPS | Vipshop Holdings Limited | (0.06) | 10 per month | 2.18 | (0) | 4.34 | (4.47) | 17.40 | |
| JMIA | Jumia Technologies AG | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.64 | (6.04) | 28.82 | |
| GLBE | Global E Online | 0.15 | 8 per month | 1.33 | 0.18 | 4.70 | (2.91) | 9.43 |
Chewy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chewy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chewy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chewy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Chewy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chewy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chewy Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chewy based on analysis of Chewy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chewy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chewy's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Chewy
The number of cover stories for Chewy depends on current market conditions and Chewy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chewy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chewy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Chewy Short Properties
Chewy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chewy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chewy Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chewy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chewy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 432 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Additional Tools for Chewy Stock Analysis
When running Chewy's price analysis, check to measure Chewy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chewy is operating at the current time. Most of Chewy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chewy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chewy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chewy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.