Canadian Imperial Bank Stock Price Patterns
| CM Stock | USD 93.00 0.13 0.14% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.158 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.4919 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.4561 | Wall Street Target Price 89.1624 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.0793 |
Using Canadian Imperial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Canadian Imperial Bank from the perspective of Canadian Imperial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Canadian Imperial using Canadian Imperial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Canadian using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Canadian Imperial's stock price.
Canadian Imperial Short Interest
An investor who is long Canadian Imperial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Canadian Imperial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Canadian Imperial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 77.488 | Short Percent 0.009 | Short Ratio 12.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 9 M | 50 Day MA 90.2162 |
Canadian Imperial Bank Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Canadian Imperial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Canadian. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Canadian can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Canadian Imperial Bank. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Canadian Imperial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Canadian Imperial.
Canadian Imperial Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
Canadian Imperial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Canadian Imperial Bank stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Canadian Imperial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Canadian Imperial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Canadian Imperial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Canadian Imperial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Canadian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Canadian Imperial after-hype prediction price | USD 93.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Canadian contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Canadian Imperial Bank will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Canadian Imperial trading at USD 93.0, that is roughly USD 0.0221 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Canadian Imperial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Canadian Imperial Bank options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Canadian Imperial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Canadian Imperial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Canadian Imperial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Canadian Imperial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Canadian Imperial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Canadian Imperial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Canadian Imperial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Canadian Imperial's historical news coverage. Canadian Imperial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 92.15 and 94.35, respectively. We have considered Canadian Imperial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Canadian Imperial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Canadian Imperial Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Canadian Imperial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Canadian Imperial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Canadian Imperial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Canadian Imperial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.10 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
93.00 | 93.25 | 0.13 |
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Canadian Imperial Hype Timeline
As of January 30, 2026 Canadian Imperial Bank is listed for 93.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Canadian is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 93.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 186.44%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Canadian Imperial is about 1125.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 93.02. The company generated the yearly revenue of 26.79 B. Reported Net Income was 8.45 B with gross profit of 26.79 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Canadian Imperial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Canadian Imperial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Canadian Imperial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Canadian Imperial's future price movements. Getting to know how Canadian Imperial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Canadian Imperial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BNS | Bank of Nova | (0.46) | 8 per month | 0.71 | 0.22 | 1.65 | (1.29) | 6.23 | |
| ING | ING Group NV | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.21 | 2.67 | (2.00) | 8.20 | |
| BCS | Barclays PLC ADR | (0.08) | 7 per month | 1.11 | 0.25 | 2.85 | (2.35) | 5.65 | |
| NU | Nu Holdings | 0.33 | 7 per month | 1.65 | 0.11 | 3.85 | (2.70) | 9.72 | |
| BMO | Bank of Montreal | 1.35 | 10 per month | 0.92 | 0.12 | 1.86 | (1.68) | 4.05 | |
| SMFG | Sumitomo Mitsui Financial | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.98 | 0.25 | 2.90 | (1.92) | 8.31 | |
| WFC | Wells Fargo | (0.38) | 5 per month | 1.31 | 0.02 | 2.15 | (1.95) | 8.12 | |
| ITUB | Itau Unibanco Banco | 0.05 | 9 per month | 1.48 | 0.24 | 3.23 | (2.15) | 9.71 | |
| LYG | Lloyds Banking Group | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.98 | 0.23 | 2.84 | (2.11) | 6.27 |
Canadian Imperial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Canadian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canadian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canadian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Canadian Imperial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Canadian Imperial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Canadian Imperial Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Canadian Imperial based on analysis of Canadian Imperial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Canadian Imperial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Canadian Imperial's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.036 | 0.0367 | 0.0331 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.47 | 1.75 | 1.58 |
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Canadian Imperial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Will Diversified Banks sector continue expanding? Could Canadian diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Canadian Imperial. Projected growth potential of Canadian fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Canadian Imperial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.158 | Dividend Share 3.88 | Earnings Share 6.3 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.125 |
Canadian Imperial Bank's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Canadian's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Canadian Imperial's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Canadian Imperial's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Canadian Imperial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Canadian Imperial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Canadian Imperial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.