Vita Coco Stock Price Patterns
| COCO Stock | USD 57.56 1.83 3.28% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.25 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1567 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.1767 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.6333 | Wall Street Target Price 58 |
Using Vita Coco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vita Coco from the perspective of Vita Coco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vita Coco using Vita Coco's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vita using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vita Coco's stock price.
Vita Coco Short Interest
An investor who is long Vita Coco may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Vita Coco and may potentially protect profits, hedge Vita Coco with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 41.2506 | Short Percent 0.1547 | Short Ratio 7.65 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.8 M | 50 Day MA 53.3238 |
Vita Coco Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Vita Coco's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vita. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vita can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vita Coco. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Vita Coco's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Vita Coco.
Vita Coco Implied Volatility | 0.62 |
Vita Coco's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vita Coco stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vita Coco's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vita Coco stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vita Coco's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vita Coco to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vita because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vita Coco after-hype prediction price | USD 57.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vita contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vita Coco will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0388% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Vita Coco trading at USD 57.56, that is roughly USD 0.0223 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vita Coco's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vita Coco options at the current volatility level of 0.62%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Vita Coco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vita Coco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vita Coco After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vita Coco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vita Coco or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vita Coco, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vita Coco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vita Coco's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vita Coco's historical news coverage. Vita Coco's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.40 and 59.72, respectively. We have considered Vita Coco's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vita Coco is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vita Coco is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vita Coco Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vita Coco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vita Coco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vita Coco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 2.18 | 0.09 | 0.56 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
57.56 | 57.56 | 0.00 |
|
Vita Coco Hype Timeline
Vita Coco is currently traded for 57.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.56. Vita is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.56%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vita Coco is about 218.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 58.12. About 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.07. Vita Coco had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the March 24, 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Vita Coco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vita Coco Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vita Coco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vita Coco's future price movements. Getting to know how Vita Coco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vita Coco may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SAM | Boston Beer | 11.22 | 10 per month | 1.80 | 0.02 | 3.11 | (3.25) | 7.94 | |
| CCU | Compania Cervecerias Unidas | 0.17 | 8 per month | 1.58 | 0.13 | 2.61 | (2.35) | 6.36 | |
| CHA | Chagee Holdings Limited | (0.22) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.85 | (4.48) | 15.71 | |
| CHEF | The Chefs Warehouse | (1.96) | 13 per month | 1.63 | 0.01 | 2.92 | (2.85) | 8.54 | |
| UNFI | United Natural Foods | (0.22) | 9 per month | 3.20 | 0.01 | 3.75 | (7.32) | 13.48 | |
| FLO | Flowers Foods | (0.16) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.55 | (3.72) | 11.13 | |
| FIZZ | National Beverage Corp | (0.19) | 7 per month | 1.48 | 0.04 | 2.99 | (2.48) | 7.83 | |
| SMPL | Simply Good Foods | 0.55 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.90 | (3.46) | 10.07 | |
| PRDO | Perdoceo Education Corp | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.71 | (3.17) | 11.89 | |
| MH | McGraw Hill | 0.67 | 9 per month | 2.94 | 0.06 | 6.07 | (3.45) | 34.91 |
Vita Coco Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vita price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vita using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vita charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vita Coco Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vita Coco stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vita Coco, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vita Coco based on analysis of Vita Coco hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vita Coco's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vita Coco's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 49.06 | 57.14 | 51.43 | 38.46 | PTB Ratio | 7.15 | 8.09 | 9.3 | 7.93 |
Pair Trading with Vita Coco
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Vita Coco position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vita Coco will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Vita Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Vita Coco could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Vita Coco when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Vita Coco - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Vita Coco to buy it.
The correlation of Vita Coco is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Vita Coco moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Vita Coco moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Vita Coco can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Vita Coco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Vita Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vita Coco guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Will Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages sector continue expanding? Could Vita diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vita Coco. Projected growth potential of Vita fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Vita Coco data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.25 | Earnings Share 1.15 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.372 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Vita Coco requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Vita's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Vita Coco's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Vita Coco's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Vita Coco's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Vita Coco should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Vita Coco's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.