Cohen Company Stock Price Prediction

COHN Stock  USD 10.20  0.49  5.05%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Cohen's share price is above 70 as of today suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Cohen, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

74

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cohen's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cohen Company, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cohen's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.72)
Wall Street Target Price
0.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.972
Using Cohen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cohen Company from the perspective of Cohen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cohen to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cohen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Cohen after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Cohen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.589.7913.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.699.9013.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.5710.0410.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cohen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cohen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cohen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cohen Company.

Cohen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cohen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cohen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cohen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cohen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cohen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cohen's historical news coverage. Cohen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.29 and 13.71, respectively. We have considered Cohen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.20
10.50
After-hype Price
13.71
Upside
Cohen is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cohen Company is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cohen Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cohen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cohen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cohen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
3.21
  0.30 
  0.03 
4 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.20
10.50
2.94 
352.75  
Notes

Cohen Hype Timeline

Cohen Company is currently traded for 10.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Cohen is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is forecasted to be 2.94%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Cohen is about 3988.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.23. Cohen Company currently holds 454 M in liabilities. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Cohen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Cohen Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cohen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cohen's future price movements. Getting to know how Cohen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cohen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MS-PIMorgan Stanley 0.00 0 per month 0.13 (0.33) 0.43 (0.43) 1.38 
MS-PEMorgan Stanley 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.63) 0.28 (0.24) 0.95 
MS-PKMorgan Stanley 0.00 0 per month 0.24 (0.17) 0.80 (0.55) 1.78 
GS-PCThe Goldman Sachs 0.00 0 per month 0.51 (0.08) 1.40 (0.98) 2.73 
MS-PFMorgan Stanley 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.51) 0.32 (0.28) 0.99 
MS-POMorgan Stanley 0.00 0 per month 1.11 (0.12) 1.75 (1.52) 5.79 
MS-PPMorgan Stanley 0.00 0 per month 0.35 (0.19) 0.91 (0.75) 2.46 
PJTPJT Partners 0.56 10 per month 0.94  0.13  3.55 (2.04) 18.44 
SRLScully Royalty 0.27 2 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.76 (4.18) 15.25 
PIPRPiper Sandler Companies(0.26)7 per month 1.14  0.10  3.14 (2.70) 22.79 
EVREvercore Partners 2.72 9 per month 1.59  0.11  3.06 (2.72) 19.27 
MCMoelis Co(0.26)11 per month 1.46  0.04  3.44 (3.04) 22.37 
ARBKFArgo Blockchain PLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 9.09 (15.38) 34.85 
ATCCAmeritrust Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AAMTFArmada Mercantile 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 0.00  0.00  37.50 
ARCNFArcane Crypto AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FUTUFutu Holdings 0.78 10 per month 4.60  0.08  11.64 (8.72) 27.02 
TWTradeweb Markets(0.58)12 per month 0.99  0.08  1.71 (1.39) 6.60 
RJFRaymond James Financial(1.43)8 per month 0.67  0.23  2.53 (2.02) 12.50 
JEFJefferies Financial Group 0.58 8 per month 1.02  0.19  2.50 (1.92) 13.44 
SFStifel Financial(0.69)8 per month 0.61  0.18  3.09 (1.97) 16.31 

Cohen Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cohen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cohen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cohen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Cohen Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Cohen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cohen Company, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cohen based on analysis of Cohen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cohen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cohen's related companies.
 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
PTB Ratio0.420.290.25
Dividend Yield0.0014610.03820.22

Story Coverage note for Cohen

The number of cover stories for Cohen depends on current market conditions and Cohen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cohen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cohen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Cohen Short Properties

Cohen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cohen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cohen Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cohen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cohen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments10.7 M
When determining whether Cohen Company offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cohen's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cohen Company Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cohen Company Stock:
Check out Cohen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Diversified Capital Markets space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cohen. If investors know Cohen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cohen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.72)
Dividend Share
1
Earnings Share
4.14
Revenue Per Share
56.408
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.972
The market value of Cohen Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cohen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cohen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cohen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cohen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cohen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cohen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cohen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cohen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.