Canadian Pacific Railway Stock Price Prediction
| CP Stock | CAD 107.21 2.13 2.03% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.071 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.26 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.2368 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.0029 | Wall Street Target Price 127.35 |
Using Canadian Pacific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Canadian Pacific Railway from the perspective of Canadian Pacific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Canadian Pacific to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Canadian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Canadian Pacific after-hype prediction price | CAD 107.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Canadian Pacific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Canadian Pacific After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Canadian Pacific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Canadian Pacific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Canadian Pacific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Canadian Pacific Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Canadian Pacific's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Canadian Pacific's historical news coverage. Canadian Pacific's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 106.24 and 108.22, respectively. We have considered Canadian Pacific's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Canadian Pacific is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Canadian Pacific Railway is based on 3 months time horizon.
Canadian Pacific Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Canadian Pacific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Canadian Pacific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Canadian Pacific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.99 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
107.21 | 107.23 | 0.02 |
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Canadian Pacific Hype Timeline
Canadian Pacific Railway is currently traded for 107.21on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Canadian is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 107.23 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 55.0%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Canadian Pacific is about 250.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 107.19. The company reported the revenue of 12.55 B. Net Income was 3.93 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.8 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Canadian Pacific Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Canadian Pacific Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Canadian Pacific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Canadian Pacific's future price movements. Getting to know how Canadian Pacific's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Canadian Pacific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNR | Canadian National Railway | (1.92) | 4 per month | 0.96 | (0.11) | 1.91 | (1.55) | 5.61 | |
| TRP | TC Energy Corp | (1.21) | 2 per month | 0.74 | 0.23 | 2.18 | (1.47) | 5.19 | |
| FTS | Fortis Inc | (0.18) | 5 per month | 0.59 | (0.02) | 1.13 | (1.19) | 3.91 | |
| L | Loblaw Companies Limited | 1.83 | 1 per month | 1.25 | (0.06) | 1.72 | (1.93) | 5.16 | |
| BCE | BCE Inc | (0.50) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.41 | (1.77) | 13.03 |
Canadian Pacific Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Canadian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canadian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canadian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Canadian Pacific Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Canadian Pacific stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Canadian Pacific Railway, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Canadian Pacific based on analysis of Canadian Pacific hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Canadian Pacific's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Canadian Pacific's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008199 | 0.007531 | 0.007241 | 0.006879 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.73 | 10.65 | 7.78 | 8.17 |
Story Coverage note for Canadian Pacific
The number of cover stories for Canadian Pacific depends on current market conditions and Canadian Pacific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Canadian Pacific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Canadian Pacific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Canadian Pacific Short Properties
Canadian Pacific's future price predictability will typically decrease when Canadian Pacific's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Canadian Pacific Railway often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Canadian Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Canadian Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 933.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 464 M |
Check out Canadian Pacific Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.