Campbell Soup Stock Price Prediction
| CPB Stock | USD 44.46 0.65 1.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
29
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.08 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.23 | Wall Street Target Price 52.206 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.62 |
Using Campbell Soup hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Campbell Soup from the perspective of Campbell Soup response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Campbell Soup using Campbell Soup's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Campbell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Campbell Soup's stock price.
Campbell Soup Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Campbell Soup's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Campbell. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Campbell Soup stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 45.9122 | Short Percent 0.0776 | Short Ratio 8.22 | Shares Short Prior Month 14.9 M | 50 Day MA 47.5238 |
Campbell Soup Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Campbell Soup's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Campbell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Campbell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Campbell Soup. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Campbell Soup's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Campbell Soup.
Campbell Soup Implied Volatility | 0.24 |
Campbell Soup's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Campbell Soup stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Campbell Soup's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Campbell Soup stock will not fluctuate a lot when Campbell Soup's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Campbell Soup to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Campbell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Campbell Soup after-hype prediction price | USD 44.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Campbell contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Campbell Soup will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.015% per day over the life of the 2024-11-22 option contract. With Campbell Soup trading at USD 44.46, that is roughly USD 0.006669 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Campbell Soup's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Campbell Soup options at the current volatility level of 0.24%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Campbell |
Campbell Soup After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Campbell Soup at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Campbell Soup or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Campbell Soup, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Campbell Soup Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Campbell Soup's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Campbell Soup's historical news coverage. Campbell Soup's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.25 and 45.73, respectively. We have considered Campbell Soup's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Campbell Soup is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Campbell Soup is based on 3 months time horizon.
Campbell Soup Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Campbell Soup is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Campbell Soup backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Campbell Soup, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.25 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
44.46 | 44.49 | 0.07 |
|
Campbell Soup Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Campbell Soup is traded for 44.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Campbell is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 44.49 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Campbell Soup is about 5468.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.46. The company reported the last year's revenue of 9.64 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 567 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.94 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Campbell Soup Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Campbell Soup Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Campbell Soup's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Campbell Soup's future price movements. Getting to know how Campbell Soup's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Campbell Soup may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BTTR | Better Choice | (0.15) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 9.94 | (12.38) | 33.95 | |
| BDPT | BioAdaptives | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.85 | 0.01 | 50.00 | (33.33) | 121.43 | |
| BEOLF | Beyond Oil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.51 | 0 | 5.93 | (4.55) | 21.61 | |
| BON | Bon Natural Life | 0.14 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 9.09 | (6.76) | 19.07 | |
| GHAV | Grand Havana | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.73 | 0.06 | 20.00 | (16.67) | 49.49 | |
| BTOG | Bit Origin | 0.23 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 11.49 | (11.38) | 33.17 | |
| PLAG | Planet Green Holdings | (0.06) | 3 per month | 6.82 | 0.13 | 25.42 | (12.24) | 57.53 |
Campbell Soup Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Campbell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Campbell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Campbell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Campbell Soup Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Campbell Soup stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Campbell Soup, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Campbell Soup based on analysis of Campbell Soup hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Campbell Soup's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Campbell Soup's related companies. | 2010 | 2011 | 2021 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.02 | 0.0335 | 0.0316 | 0.0302 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.01 | 1.55 | 1.46 | 1.74 |
Story Coverage note for Campbell Soup
The number of cover stories for Campbell Soup depends on current market conditions and Campbell Soup's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Campbell Soup is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Campbell Soup's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Campbell Soup Short Properties
Campbell Soup's future price predictability will typically decrease when Campbell Soup's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Campbell Soup often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Campbell Soup's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Campbell Soup's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 300 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 108 M |
Complementary Tools for Campbell Stock analysis
When running Campbell Soup's price analysis, check to measure Campbell Soup's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Campbell Soup is operating at the current time. Most of Campbell Soup's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Campbell Soup's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Campbell Soup's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Campbell Soup to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Idea Optimizer Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio | |
| Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital |