Critical Metals Corp Stock Price Patterns
| CRML Stock | 10.73 0.27 2.45% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.714 |
Using Critical Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Critical Metals Corp from the perspective of Critical Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Critical Metals using Critical Metals' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Critical using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Critical Metals' stock price.
Critical Metals Short Interest
An investor who is long Critical Metals may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Critical Metals and may potentially protect profits, hedge Critical Metals with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 7.4424 | Short Percent 0.3136 | Short Ratio 0.48 | Shares Short Prior Month 13.2 M | 50 Day MA 11.5602 |
Critical Metals Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Critical Metals' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Critical. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Critical can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Critical Metals Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Critical Metals' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Critical Metals.
Critical Metals Implied Volatility | 1.11 |
Critical Metals' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Critical Metals Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Critical Metals' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Critical Metals stock will not fluctuate a lot when Critical Metals' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Critical Metals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Critical because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Critical Metals after-hype prediction price | USD 9.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Critical contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Critical Metals Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0694% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Critical Metals trading at USD 10.73, that is roughly USD 0.007444 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Critical Metals' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Critical Metals Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.11%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Critical Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Critical Metals After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Critical Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Critical Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Critical Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Critical Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Critical Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Critical Metals' historical news coverage. Critical Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.50 and 20.44, respectively. We have considered Critical Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Critical Metals is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Critical Metals Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Critical Metals Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Critical Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Critical Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Critical Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.79 | 10.54 | 1.37 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.73 | 9.98 | 6.99 |
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Critical Metals Hype Timeline
Critical Metals Corp is currently traded for 10.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Critical is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.99%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.79%. The volatility of related hype on Critical Metals is about 35133.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.75. About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.56. Critical Metals Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Critical Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Critical Metals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Critical Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Critical Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Critical Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Critical Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GSM | Ferroglobe PLC | 0.06 | 7 per month | 3.06 | 0.06 | 5.66 | (5.08) | 19.69 | |
| CMP | Compass Minerals International | 0.01 | 8 per month | 3.99 | 0.14 | 5.66 | (3.43) | 23.55 | |
| ASPI | ASP Isotopes Common | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 16.16 | (10.73) | 29.92 |
Critical Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Critical price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Critical using various technical indicators. When you analyze Critical charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Critical Metals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Critical Metals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Critical Metals Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Critical Metals based on analysis of Critical Metals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Critical Metals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Critical Metals's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Interest Debt Per Share | 0.51 | 0.0697 | 0.0627 | 0.096 | Revenue Per Share | 0.001453 | 0.006052 | 0.005447 | 0.003364 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Critical Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Critical Metals. Projected growth potential of Critical fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Critical Metals assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (0.56) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.714 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Critical Metals Corp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Critical's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Critical Metals' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Critical Metals' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Critical Metals' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Critical Metals should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Critical Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.