Diamond Hill Investment Stock Price Prediction

DHIL Stock  USD 169.66  0.50  0.30%   
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Diamond Hill's share price is at 59 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Diamond Hill, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

59

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Diamond Hill's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Diamond Hill and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Diamond Hill's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Diamond Hill Investment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Diamond Hill's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.431
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.097
Using Diamond Hill hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Diamond Hill Investment from the perspective of Diamond Hill response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Diamond Hill to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Diamond because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Diamond Hill after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 169.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Diamond Hill Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
139.20140.82186.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
166.71168.34169.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
146.73161.83176.93
Details

Diamond Hill After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Diamond Hill at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Diamond Hill or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Diamond Hill, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Diamond Hill Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Diamond Hill's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Diamond Hill's historical news coverage. Diamond Hill's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 168.04 and 171.28, respectively. We have considered Diamond Hill's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
169.66
168.04
Downside
169.66
After-hype Price
171.28
Upside
Diamond Hill is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Diamond Hill Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.

Diamond Hill Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Diamond Hill is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Diamond Hill backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Diamond Hill, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
1.62
  0.12 
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
169.66
169.66
0.00 
147.27  
Notes

Diamond Hill Hype Timeline

Diamond Hill Investment is currently traded for 169.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Diamond is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 147.27%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Diamond Hill is about 7892.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 169.66. About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Diamond Hill was currently reported as 60.92. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 17.61. Diamond Hill Investment last dividend was issued on the 22nd of November 2024. The entity had 1:5 split on the 26th of September 2001. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Diamond Hill Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Diamond Hill Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Diamond Hill's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Diamond Hill's future price movements. Getting to know how Diamond Hill's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Diamond Hill may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FMNFederated Premier Municipal(0.01)2 per month 0.00 (0.23) 1.06 (1.49) 5.09 
MYDBlackrock Muniyield(0.02)3 per month 0.55 (0.15) 1.08 (1.06) 2.65 
NXGNXG NextGen Infrastructure(0.11)7 per month 0.14  0.24  1.96 (0.94) 5.18 
FHIFederated Investors B 0.50 12 per month 0.67  0.19  2.04 (1.37) 5.65 
MHDBlackrock Muniholdings Closed 0.11 3 per month 0.71 (0.17) 0.88 (1.14) 3.11 
DTFDTF Tax Free 0.01 4 per month 0.24 (0.29) 0.54 (0.36) 1.96 
JHSJohn Hancock Income(0.19)2 per month 0.37 (0.19) 0.70 (0.60) 3.04 
CXHMFS Investment Grade(0.01)5 per month 0.38 (0.18) 0.62 (0.62) 2.10 
CBHCBH 0.01 2 per month 0.00 (0.38) 0.22 (0.22) 0.78 
MVFMunivest Fund 0.03 3 per month 0.61 (0.17) 0.83 (1.06) 2.81 
MUEBlackrock Muniholdings Quality(0.03)2 per month 0.47 (0.15) 0.85 (0.76) 2.47 
KTFDWS Municipal Income 0.07 8 per month 0.47 (0.1) 1.12 (0.61) 3.40 
NXCNuveen California Select(0.09)4 per month 0.00 (0.23) 0.94 (0.94) 2.82 
MQTBlackrock Muniyield Quality(0.06)3 per month 0.00 (0.21) 0.87 (0.92) 2.73 
MQYBlackrock Muniyield Quality(0.02)2 per month 0.00 (0.23) 0.81 (1.07) 2.74 
BSIGBrightsphere Investment Group 0.40 9 per month 1.29  0.16  3.12 (3.01) 9.55 
FTFFranklin Templeton Limited(0.05)2 per month 0.36 (0.20) 0.62 (0.62) 2.30 
MUIBlackrock Muni Intermediate 0.01 1 per month 0.48 (0.16) 0.73 (0.65) 3.31 
FRABlackrock Floating Rate(0.16)3 per month 0.27  0.07  1.08 (0.85) 2.42 

Diamond Hill Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Diamond price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Diamond using various technical indicators. When you analyze Diamond charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Diamond Hill Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Diamond Hill stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Diamond Hill Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Diamond Hill based on analysis of Diamond Hill hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Diamond Hill's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Diamond Hill's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
PTB Ratio3.513.054.44
Dividend Yield0.05340.03620.0344

Story Coverage note for Diamond Hill

The number of cover stories for Diamond Hill depends on current market conditions and Diamond Hill's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Diamond Hill is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Diamond Hill's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Diamond Hill Short Properties

Diamond Hill's future price predictability will typically decrease when Diamond Hill's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Diamond Hill Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Diamond Hill's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diamond Hill's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 M
Dividends Paid17.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments47 M
When determining whether Diamond Hill Investment is a strong investment it is important to analyze Diamond Hill's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Diamond Hill's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Diamond Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Diamond Hill Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Diamond Hill. If investors know Diamond will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Diamond Hill listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.431
Dividend Share
6
Earnings Share
17.61
Revenue Per Share
52.138
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.097
The market value of Diamond Hill Investment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Diamond that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Diamond Hill's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Diamond Hill's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Diamond Hill's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Diamond Hill's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Diamond Hill's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Diamond Hill is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Diamond Hill's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.