Brinker International Stock Price Prediction

EAT Stock  USD 160.64  4.00  2.55%   
The relative strength indicator of Brinker International's share price is above 70 at this time suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Brinker, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 70

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Brinker International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Brinker International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Brinker International's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.583
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.9382
EPS Estimate Current Year
10.4411
EPS Estimate Next Year
12.073
Wall Street Target Price
183.6842
Using Brinker International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brinker International from the perspective of Brinker International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Brinker International using Brinker International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Brinker using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Brinker International's stock price.

Brinker International Short Interest

An investor who is long Brinker International may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Brinker International and may potentially protect profits, hedge Brinker International with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
149.1177
Short Percent
0.1388
Short Ratio
4.68
Shares Short Prior Month
4.9 M
50 Day MA
147.475

Brinker International Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Brinker International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Brinker. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Brinker can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Brinker International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Brinker International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Brinker International.

Brinker International Implied Volatility

    
  0.6  
Brinker International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Brinker International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Brinker International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Brinker International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Brinker International's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Brinker International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Brinker because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Brinker International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 155.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Brinker contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Brinker International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0375% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Brinker International trading at USD 160.64, that is roughly USD 0.0602 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Brinker International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Brinker International options at the current volatility level of 0.6%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Brinker International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Brinker Stock please use our How to Invest in Brinker International guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
144.60147.45172.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
138.86141.71144.57
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
167.15183.68203.89
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.782.943.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Brinker International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Brinker International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Brinker International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Brinker International.

Brinker International After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Brinker International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brinker International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brinker International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Brinker International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Brinker International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brinker International's historical news coverage. Brinker International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 152.83 and 158.53, respectively. We have considered Brinker International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
160.64
152.83
Downside
155.68
After-hype Price
158.53
Upside
Brinker International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brinker International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Brinker International Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brinker International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brinker International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brinker International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.68 
2.84
  6.17 
  1.18 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
160.64
155.68
0.61 
31.28  
Notes

Brinker International Hype Timeline

On the 29th of January Brinker International is traded for 160.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -6.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.18. Brinker is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 155.68. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 31.28%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.61%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.68%. The volatility of related hype on Brinker International is about 163.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 161.82. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.11. Brinker International recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.66. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of March 2020. The firm had 3:2 split on the 1st of December 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Brinker International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Brinker Stock please use our How to Invest in Brinker International guide.

Brinker International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Brinker International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brinker International's future price movements. Getting to know how Brinker International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brinker International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MTHMeritage 5.54 10 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.46 (2.97) 13.79 
GPKGraphic Packaging Holding(0.05)9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.59 (3.21) 17.54 
ABGAsbury Automotive Group(2.47)9 per month 1.70 (0.02) 3.65 (2.56) 10.40 
FTDRFrontdoor 0.86 8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.10 (2.86) 17.53 
TNLTravel Leisure Co 1.98 9 per month 1.40  0.03  2.77 (2.43) 8.90 
KBHKB Home 1.08 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.30 (2.48) 15.09 
GPIGroup 1 Automotive 7.80 9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.58 (2.48) 6.35 
CHHChoice Hotels International 3.89 10 per month 1.88 (0.01) 4.35 (3.41) 10.13 
GOLFAcushnet Holdings Corp(1.29)10 per month 1.04  0.11  3.42 (1.95) 6.55 
GNTXGentex 0.00 10 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.63 (2.24) 10.19 

Brinker International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Brinker price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brinker using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brinker charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Brinker International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Brinker International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Brinker International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Brinker International based on analysis of Brinker International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Brinker International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Brinker International's related companies.
 2020 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield6.2E-56.13E-45.82E-4
Price To Sales Ratio1.460.841.06

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Additional Tools for Brinker Stock Analysis

When running Brinker International's price analysis, check to measure Brinker International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brinker International is operating at the current time. Most of Brinker International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brinker International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brinker International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brinker International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.