Consolidated Edison Stock Price Prediction
| ED Stock | USD 98.70 0.82 0.84% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.112 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.97 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.3416 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.6311 | Wall Street Target Price 100 |
Using Consolidated Edison hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Consolidated Edison from the perspective of Consolidated Edison response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Consolidated Edison Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Consolidated Edison's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Consolidated. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Consolidated can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Consolidated Edison. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Consolidated Edison's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Consolidated Edison.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Consolidated Edison to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Consolidated because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Consolidated Edison after-hype prediction price | USD 98.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Consolidated |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Consolidated Edison's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Consolidated Edison After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Consolidated Edison at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Consolidated Edison or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Consolidated Edison, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Consolidated Edison Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Consolidated Edison's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Consolidated Edison's historical news coverage. Consolidated Edison's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 97.68 and 99.66, respectively. We have considered Consolidated Edison's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Consolidated Edison is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Consolidated Edison is based on 3 months time horizon.
Consolidated Edison Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Consolidated Edison is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Consolidated Edison backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Consolidated Edison, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.99 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
98.70 | 98.67 | 0.03 |
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Consolidated Edison Hype Timeline
As of November 22, 2024 Consolidated Edison is listed for 98.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Consolidated is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 98.67. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 69.72%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Consolidated Edison is about 1010.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 98.70. About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.55. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Consolidated Edison recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.32. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 3rd of July 1989. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Consolidated Edison Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Consolidated Edison Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Consolidated Edison's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Consolidated Edison's future price movements. Getting to know how Consolidated Edison's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Consolidated Edison may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KEP | Korea Electric Power | 0.09 | 9 per month | 2.05 | 0.01 | 4.16 | (3.00) | 11.77 | |
| EBR | Centrais Electricas Brasileiras | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.79 | (3.29) | 9.56 | |
| MGEE | MGE Energy | (0.25) | 11 per month | 0.85 | 0.12 | 2.95 | (1.77) | 9.44 | |
| IDA | IDACORP | (1.93) | 10 per month | 0.43 | 0.12 | 2.29 | (1.08) | 4.12 | |
| ENIC | Enel Chile SA | (0.02) | 4 per month | 1.68 | (0.05) | 3.40 | (2.68) | 7.97 | |
| EBR-B | Centrais Eltricas Brasileiras | 0.11 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.34 | (2.48) | 12.18 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.99 | (0.05) | 1.34 | (1.88) | 3.94 | |
| GNE | Genie Energy | (0.29) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.39 | (2.42) | 9.98 | |
| EDN | Empresa Distribuidora y | 1.39 | 8 per month | 1.34 | 0.34 | 6.94 | (2.80) | 10.19 | |
| ETI-P | Entergy Texas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.54 | (0.02) | 1.49 | (1.01) | 3.43 |
Consolidated Edison Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Consolidated price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Consolidated using various technical indicators. When you analyze Consolidated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Consolidated Edison Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Consolidated Edison stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Consolidated Edison, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Consolidated Edison based on analysis of Consolidated Edison hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Consolidated Edison's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Consolidated Edison's related companies. | 2020 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0403 | 0.0322 | 0.0515 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.98 | 2.16 | 2.27 |
Story Coverage note for Consolidated Edison
The number of cover stories for Consolidated Edison depends on current market conditions and Consolidated Edison's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Consolidated Edison is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Consolidated Edison's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Consolidated Edison Short Properties
Consolidated Edison's future price predictability will typically decrease when Consolidated Edison's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Consolidated Edison often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Consolidated Edison's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Consolidated Edison's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 349.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Consolidated Stock analysis
When running Consolidated Edison's price analysis, check to measure Consolidated Edison's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Consolidated Edison is operating at the current time. Most of Consolidated Edison's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Consolidated Edison's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Consolidated Edison's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Consolidated Edison to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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