Mota Engil (Portugal) Price Prediction
| EGL Stock | EUR 2.55 0.05 1.92% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mota Engil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mota Engil SGPS SA from the perspective of Mota Engil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mota Engil to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mota because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mota Engil after-hype prediction price | EUR 2.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mota |
Mota Engil After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mota Engil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mota Engil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mota Engil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mota Engil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mota Engil's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mota Engil's historical news coverage. Mota Engil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.14 and 4.96, respectively. We have considered Mota Engil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mota Engil is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mota Engil SGPS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mota Engil Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mota Engil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mota Engil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mota Engil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.55 | 2.55 | 0.00 |
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Mota Engil Hype Timeline
Mota Engil SGPS is currently traded for 2.55on Euronext Lisbon of Portugal. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mota is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mota Engil is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.55. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.46. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Mota Engil SGPS last dividend was issued on the 3rd of October 2022. The entity had 5:1 split on the 23rd of January 2001. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Mota Engil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mota Engil Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mota Engil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mota Engil's future price movements. Getting to know how Mota Engil's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mota Engil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SON | Sonae SGPS SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.10 | (1.09) | 4.23 | |
| ALTR | Altri SGPS SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.87 | (0.03) | 1.94 | (1.78) | 7.15 | |
| BCP | Banco Comercial Portugues | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | 0.03 | 2.50 | (2.44) | 11.75 | |
| SEM | Semapa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.92 | (1.64) | 4.38 | |
| GALP | Galp Energia SGPS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 1.49 | (3.83) | 6.73 |
Mota Engil Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mota price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mota using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mota charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Mota Engil Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mota Engil stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mota Engil SGPS SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mota Engil based on analysis of Mota Engil hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mota Engil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mota Engil's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Mota Engil
The number of cover stories for Mota Engil depends on current market conditions and Mota Engil's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mota Engil is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mota Engil's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mota Engil Short Properties
Mota Engil's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mota Engil's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mota Engil SGPS SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mota Engil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mota Engil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 300.7 M |
Additional Tools for Mota Stock Analysis
When running Mota Engil's price analysis, check to measure Mota Engil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mota Engil is operating at the current time. Most of Mota Engil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mota Engil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mota Engil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mota Engil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.