Eldorado Gold Corp Stock Price Prediction
| ELD Stock | CAD 21.94 1.24 5.35% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 55.667 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.6 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.4424 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7895 | Wall Street Target Price 20.7226 |
Using Eldorado Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eldorado Gold Corp from the perspective of Eldorado Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Eldorado Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Eldorado because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Eldorado Gold after-hype prediction price | CAD 21.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Eldorado |
Eldorado Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Eldorado Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eldorado Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eldorado Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Eldorado Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Eldorado Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eldorado Gold's historical news coverage. Eldorado Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.52 and 24.36, respectively. We have considered Eldorado Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Eldorado Gold is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eldorado Gold Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Eldorado Gold Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eldorado Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eldorado Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eldorado Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.50 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.94 | 21.94 | 0.00 |
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Eldorado Gold Hype Timeline
Eldorado Gold Corp is currently traded for 21.94on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Eldorado is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Eldorado Gold is about 4687.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.94. About 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Eldorado Gold Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.63. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of March 2017. The firm had 1:5 split on the 31st of December 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Eldorado Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Eldorado Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Eldorado Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eldorado Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Eldorado Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eldorado Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AG | First Majestic Silver | 0.05 | 4 per month | 2.89 | 0.03 | 6.12 | (4.50) | 19.85 | |
| IE | Ivanhoe Energy | 0.10 | 1 per month | 2.84 | 0.11 | 5.97 | (4.72) | 19.82 | |
| ORE | Orezone Gold Corp | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.19 | (6.49) | 18.09 |
Eldorado Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Eldorado price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eldorado using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eldorado charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Eldorado Gold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Eldorado Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Eldorado Gold Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eldorado Gold based on analysis of Eldorado Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Eldorado Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Eldorado Gold's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 9.16 | 9.34 | 7.93 | 4.18 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 99.94 | 103.73 | 116.35 | 101.62 |
Story Coverage note for Eldorado Gold
The number of cover stories for Eldorado Gold depends on current market conditions and Eldorado Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eldorado Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eldorado Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Eldorado Gold Short Properties
Eldorado Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Eldorado Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eldorado Gold Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eldorado Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eldorado Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 195.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 544.4 M |
Check out Eldorado Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.