Smart Share Global Stock Price Prediction
| EM Stock | USD 0.71 0.02 2.90% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.05 | Wall Street Target Price 1.86 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.55) |
Using Smart Share hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Smart Share Global from the perspective of Smart Share response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Smart Share to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Smart because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Smart Share after-hype prediction price | USD 0.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Smart |
Smart Share After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Smart Share at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Smart Share or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Smart Share, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Smart Share Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Smart Share's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Smart Share's historical news coverage. Smart Share's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 5.86, respectively. We have considered Smart Share's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Smart Share is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Smart Share Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
Smart Share Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Smart Share is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Smart Share backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Smart Share, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 5.15 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 4 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.71 | 0.71 | 0.00 |
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Smart Share Hype Timeline
As of November 26, 2024 Smart Share Global is listed for 0.71. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Smart is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on Smart Share is about 7836.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.69. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.48. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Smart Share Global last dividend was issued on the 30th of May 2024. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Smart Share Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Smart Share Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Smart Share's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Smart Share's future price movements. Getting to know how Smart Share's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Smart Share may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FTDR | Frontdoor | 0.35 | 7 per month | 1.10 | 0.11 | 3.68 | (2.33) | 8.60 | |
| BFAM | Bright Horizons Family | (1.29) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.83 | (2.27) | 14.64 | |
| MCW | Mister Car Wash | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.41 | 0.08 | 4.63 | (3.20) | 16.56 | |
| CSV | Carriage Services | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.84 | 0.11 | 2.84 | (2.10) | 16.85 | |
| DSEY | Diversey Holdings | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 0.49 | (0.36) | 1.22 | |
| SCI | Service International | 0.97 | 8 per month | 0.74 | 0.07 | 1.89 | (1.37) | 8.36 | |
| ROL | Rollins | (0.57) | 9 per month | 1.77 | (0.08) | 1.53 | (2.26) | 9.52 |
Smart Share Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Smart price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smart using various technical indicators. When you analyze Smart charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Smart Share Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Smart Share stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Smart Share Global, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Smart Share based on analysis of Smart Share hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Smart Share's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Smart Share's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 2.09 | 2.12 | 34.35 | 36.07 | PTB Ratio | 0.58 | 0.77 | 0.34 | 0.32 |
Story Coverage note for Smart Share
The number of cover stories for Smart Share depends on current market conditions and Smart Share's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Smart Share is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Smart Share's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Smart Share Short Properties
Smart Share's future price predictability will typically decrease when Smart Share's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Smart Share Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Smart Share's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smart Share's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 260 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 B |
Check out Smart Share Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smart Share. If investors know Smart will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Smart Share listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | Earnings Share 0.03 | Revenue Per Share 7.571 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.55) | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of Smart Share Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Smart that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Smart Share's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Smart Share's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Smart Share's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Smart Share's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Smart Share's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smart Share is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Smart Share's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.