Eastman Chemical Stock Price Prediction

EMN Stock  USD 105.59  1.99  1.92%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Eastman Chemical's share price is approaching 41 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Eastman Chemical, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

41

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Eastman Chemical's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eastman Chemical, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Eastman Chemical's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.027
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.78
EPS Estimate Current Year
7.6106
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.6672
Wall Street Target Price
115.4211
Using Eastman Chemical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eastman Chemical from the perspective of Eastman Chemical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Eastman Chemical Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Eastman Chemical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Eastman. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Eastman can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Eastman Chemical. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Eastman Chemical's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Eastman Chemical.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Eastman Chemical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Eastman because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Eastman Chemical after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 105.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Eastman Chemical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Eastman Stock, please use our How to Invest in Eastman Chemical guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.2797.71116.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
103.58105.02106.46
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
82.0090.11100.02
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.791.901.93
Details

Eastman Chemical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Eastman Chemical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eastman Chemical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eastman Chemical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Eastman Chemical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Eastman Chemical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eastman Chemical's historical news coverage. Eastman Chemical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 104.04 and 106.92, respectively. We have considered Eastman Chemical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
105.59
104.04
Downside
105.48
After-hype Price
106.92
Upside
Eastman Chemical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eastman Chemical is based on 3 months time horizon.

Eastman Chemical Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eastman Chemical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eastman Chemical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eastman Chemical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
1.44
  0.11 
  0.03 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
105.59
105.48
0.10 
135.85  
Notes

Eastman Chemical Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November Eastman Chemical is traded for 105.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Eastman is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 105.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 135.85%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Eastman Chemical is about 418.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 105.62. About 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Eastman Chemical was currently reported as 48.8. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.5. Eastman Chemical recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.47. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of September 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 4th of October 2011. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Eastman Chemical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Eastman Stock, please use our How to Invest in Eastman Chemical guide.

Eastman Chemical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Eastman Chemical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eastman Chemical's future price movements. Getting to know how Eastman Chemical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eastman Chemical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OLNOlin Corporation(1.03)7 per month 2.10 (0.04) 3.92 (2.69) 14.96 
CBTCabot(2.30)12 per month 1.28  0.01  2.82 (1.75) 10.88 
KROKronos Worldwide(0.22)8 per month 1.73 (0.03) 3.81 (2.79) 13.09 
LYBLyondellBasell Industries NV 0.07 9 per month 0.00 (0.27) 1.98 (2.13) 5.41 
APDAir Products and 1.63 8 per month 0.54  0.12  1.90 (1.38) 10.91 
PPGPPG Industries(0.63)9 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.19 (1.90) 8.06 
LINLinde plc Ordinary 2.40 9 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.34 (1.29) 5.01 
ECLEcolab Inc 1.03 9 per month 0.95 (0.14) 1.43 (1.11) 4.42 
SHWSherwin Williams Co 2.15 9 per month 1.15  0  2.19 (1.52) 7.77 

Eastman Chemical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Eastman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eastman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eastman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Eastman Chemical Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Eastman Chemical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Eastman Chemical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eastman Chemical based on analysis of Eastman Chemical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Eastman Chemical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Eastman Chemical's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0230.03430.0353
Price To Sales Ratio1.561.051.16

Story Coverage note for Eastman Chemical

The number of cover stories for Eastman Chemical depends on current market conditions and Eastman Chemical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eastman Chemical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eastman Chemical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Eastman Chemical Short Properties

Eastman Chemical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Eastman Chemical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eastman Chemical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eastman Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eastman Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding119.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments548 M
When determining whether Eastman Chemical offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Eastman Chemical's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Eastman Chemical Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Eastman Chemical Stock:
Check out Eastman Chemical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Eastman Stock, please use our How to Invest in Eastman Chemical guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Diversified Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eastman Chemical. If investors know Eastman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eastman Chemical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.027
Dividend Share
3.24
Earnings Share
7.47
Revenue Per Share
79.642
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.087
The market value of Eastman Chemical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eastman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eastman Chemical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eastman Chemical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eastman Chemical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eastman Chemical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eastman Chemical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eastman Chemical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eastman Chemical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.