Evolus Inc Stock Price Prediction
| EOLS Stock | USD 14.36 3.85 36.63% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.02 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.28) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.07) | Wall Street Target Price 23.4286 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.10) |
Using Evolus hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Evolus Inc from the perspective of Evolus response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Evolus using Evolus' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Evolus using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Evolus' stock price.
Evolus Implied Volatility | 1.1 |
Evolus' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Evolus Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Evolus' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Evolus stock will not fluctuate a lot when Evolus' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Evolus to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Evolus because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Evolus after-hype prediction price | USD 10.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Evolus contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Evolus Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0688% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Evolus trading at USD 14.36, that is roughly USD 0.009873 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Evolus' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Evolus Inc options at the current volatility level of 1.1%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Evolus |
Evolus After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Evolus at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Evolus or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Evolus, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Evolus Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Evolus' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Evolus' historical news coverage. Evolus' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.03 and 13.99, respectively. We have considered Evolus' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Evolus is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Evolus Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Evolus Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Evolus is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Evolus backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Evolus, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.63 | 3.48 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.36 | 10.51 | 0.00 |
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Evolus Hype Timeline
Evolus Inc is currently traded for 14.36. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Evolus is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.63%. %. The volatility of related hype on Evolus is about 1977.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.25. About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.91. Evolus Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Evolus Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Evolus Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Evolus' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Evolus' future price movements. Getting to know how Evolus' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Evolus may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Evolus Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Evolus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Evolus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Evolus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Evolus Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Evolus stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Evolus Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Evolus based on analysis of Evolus hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Evolus's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Evolus's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 6.25 | 14.41 | 12.97 | 13.62 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 123.12 | 65.21 | 74.99 | 123.6 |
Story Coverage note for Evolus
The number of cover stories for Evolus depends on current market conditions and Evolus' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Evolus is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Evolus' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Evolus Short Properties
Evolus' future price predictability will typically decrease when Evolus' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Evolus Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Evolus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Evolus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 62.8 M |
Additional Tools for Evolus Stock Analysis
When running Evolus' price analysis, check to measure Evolus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Evolus is operating at the current time. Most of Evolus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Evolus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Evolus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Evolus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.