Evolution Petroleum Stock Price Prediction
| EPM Stock | USD 6.11 0.22 3.74% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.5 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.08 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.14 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4 | Wall Street Target Price 7.625 |
Using Evolution Petroleum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Evolution Petroleum from the perspective of Evolution Petroleum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Evolution Petroleum to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Evolution because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Evolution Petroleum after-hype prediction price | USD 6.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Evolution |
Evolution Petroleum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Evolution Petroleum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Evolution Petroleum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Evolution Petroleum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Evolution Petroleum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Evolution Petroleum's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Evolution Petroleum's historical news coverage. Evolution Petroleum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.27 and 8.93, respectively. We have considered Evolution Petroleum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Evolution Petroleum is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Evolution Petroleum is based on 3 months time horizon.
Evolution Petroleum Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Evolution Petroleum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Evolution Petroleum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Evolution Petroleum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 2.83 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 13 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.11 | 6.10 | 0.16 |
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Evolution Petroleum Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Evolution Petroleum is traded for 6.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Evolution is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Evolution Petroleum is about 3788.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.08. About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Evolution Petroleum was currently reported as 2.42. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. Evolution Petroleum had 1:40 split on the 5th of February 2004. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Evolution Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Evolution Petroleum Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Evolution Petroleum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Evolution Petroleum's future price movements. Getting to know how Evolution Petroleum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Evolution Petroleum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Evolution Petroleum Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Evolution price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Evolution using various technical indicators. When you analyze Evolution charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Evolution Petroleum Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Evolution Petroleum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Evolution Petroleum, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Evolution Petroleum based on analysis of Evolution Petroleum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Evolution Petroleum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Evolution Petroleum's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0656 | 0.0605 | 0.0917 | 0.0963 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.65 | 2.07 | 2.04 | 1.84 |
Story Coverage note for Evolution Petroleum
The number of cover stories for Evolution Petroleum depends on current market conditions and Evolution Petroleum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Evolution Petroleum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Evolution Petroleum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Evolution Petroleum Short Properties
Evolution Petroleum's future price predictability will typically decrease when Evolution Petroleum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Evolution Petroleum often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Evolution Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Evolution Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.4 M |
Check out Evolution Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Evolution Stock, please use our How to Invest in Evolution Petroleum guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Evolution Petroleum. If investors know Evolution will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Evolution Petroleum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.5 | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 0.14 | Revenue Per Share 2.665 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
The market value of Evolution Petroleum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Evolution that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Evolution Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Evolution Petroleum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Evolution Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Evolution Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Evolution Petroleum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Evolution Petroleum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Evolution Petroleum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.