Expensify Stock Price Prediction
| EXFY Stock | USD 3.40 0.08 2.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
81
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 27.553 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.06 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.239 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.2476 | Wall Street Target Price 3.05 |
Using Expensify hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Expensify from the perspective of Expensify response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Expensify to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Expensify because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Expensify after-hype prediction price | USD 3.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Expensify |
Expensify After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Expensify at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Expensify or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Expensify, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Expensify Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Expensify's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Expensify's historical news coverage. Expensify's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 8.75, respectively. We have considered Expensify's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Expensify is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Expensify is based on 3 months time horizon.
Expensify Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Expensify is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Expensify backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Expensify, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.73 | 5.36 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 9 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.40 | 3.43 | 0.88 |
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Expensify Hype Timeline
Expensify is currently traded for 3.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Expensify is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.43 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.88%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.73%. The volatility of related hype on Expensify is about 4466.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.49. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 150.69 M. Net Loss for the year was (41.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 106.83 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Expensify Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Expensify Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Expensify's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Expensify's future price movements. Getting to know how Expensify's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Expensify may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OLB | OLB Group | 0.36 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 14.45 | (12.03) | 43.35 | |
| FDBL | Friendable | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 | |
| KWIK | KwikClick | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 25.00 | (20.00) | 107.87 |
Expensify Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Expensify price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Expensify using various technical indicators. When you analyze Expensify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Expensify Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Expensify stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Expensify, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Expensify based on analysis of Expensify hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Expensify's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Expensify's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 14.31 | 59.18 | 46.94 | 49.29 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 50.55 | 51.4 | 46.26 | 30.57 |
Story Coverage note for Expensify
The number of cover stories for Expensify depends on current market conditions and Expensify's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Expensify is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Expensify's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Expensify Short Properties
Expensify's future price predictability will typically decrease when Expensify's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Expensify often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Expensify's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Expensify's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 82.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 47.5 M |
Additional Tools for Expensify Stock Analysis
When running Expensify's price analysis, check to measure Expensify's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Expensify is operating at the current time. Most of Expensify's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Expensify's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Expensify's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Expensify to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.