Expedia Group Stock Price Patterns
| EXPE Stock | USD 264.84 7.93 2.91% |
Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.454 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.7356 | EPS Estimate Current Year 15.2085 | EPS Estimate Next Year 17.9567 | Wall Street Target Price 288.3824 |
Using Expedia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Expedia Group from the perspective of Expedia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Expedia using Expedia's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Expedia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Expedia's stock price.
Expedia Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Expedia's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Expedia. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Expedia stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 213.7535 | Short Percent 0.0605 | Short Ratio 4.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 7 M | 50 Day MA 274.3446 |
Expedia Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Expedia's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Expedia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Expedia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Expedia Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Expedia's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Expedia.
Expedia Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
Expedia's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Expedia Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Expedia's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Expedia stock will not fluctuate a lot when Expedia's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Expedia to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Expedia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Expedia after-hype prediction price | USD 264.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Expedia contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Expedia Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Expedia trading at USD 264.84, that is roughly USD 0.0894 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Expedia's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Expedia Group options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Expedia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Expedia After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Expedia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Expedia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Expedia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Expedia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Expedia's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Expedia's historical news coverage. Expedia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 261.60 and 268.08, respectively. We have considered Expedia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Expedia is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Expedia Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Expedia Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Expedia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Expedia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Expedia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 3.21 | 2.15 | 0.32 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
264.84 | 264.84 | 0.00 |
|
Expedia Hype Timeline
Expedia Group is currently traded for 264.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.32. Expedia is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 56.61%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Expedia is about 375.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 265.16. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.76. Expedia Group recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.09. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2025. The firm had 1:2 split on the 21st of December 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Expedia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Expedia Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Expedia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Expedia's future price movements. Getting to know how Expedia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Expedia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VIK | Viking Holdings | (0.19) | 10 per month | 1.49 | 0.14 | 4.75 | (2.41) | 8.50 | |
| WSM | Williams Sonoma | 9.13 | 10 per month | 1.74 | 0.05 | 3.63 | (2.83) | 7.84 | |
| TSCO | Tractor Supply | 1.98 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.42 | (2.26) | 5.37 | |
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty | (0.94) | 8 per month | 1.24 | 0.14 | 2.71 | (2.29) | 16.26 | |
| GELHY | Geely Automobile Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.40 | (2.76) | 6.06 | |
| IHG | InterContinental Hotels Group | (0.85) | 7 per month | 1.03 | 0.07 | 2.69 | (2.04) | 7.94 | |
| PHM | PulteGroup | (2.38) | 9 per month | 1.37 | 0.03 | 5.00 | (2.19) | 9.97 | |
| QSR | Restaurant Brands International | (0.45) | 10 per month | 1.04 | (0.02) | 2.13 | (1.84) | 6.22 | |
| ROL | Rollins | 0.62 | 11 per month | 1.09 | 0.09 | 1.80 | (1.68) | 11.46 | |
| DRI | Darden Restaurants | 1.62 | 9 per month | 1.39 | 0.06 | 3.26 | (2.51) | 8.67 |
Expedia Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Expedia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Expedia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Expedia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Expedia Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Expedia stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Expedia Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Expedia based on analysis of Expedia hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Expedia's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Expedia's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002847 | 0.002705 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.06 | 2.26 |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Complementary Tools for Expedia Stock analysis
When running Expedia's price analysis, check to measure Expedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Expedia is operating at the current time. Most of Expedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Expedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Expedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Expedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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