First Foundation Stock Price Prediction
| FFWM Stock | USD 7.95 0.13 1.61% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.93) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.06 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.125 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.425 | Wall Street Target Price 7.75 |
Using First Foundation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Foundation from the perspective of First Foundation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Foundation to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Foundation after-hype prediction price | USD 7.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Foundation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Foundation After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Foundation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Foundation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Foundation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Foundation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Foundation's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Foundation's historical news coverage. First Foundation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.00 and 11.86, respectively. We have considered First Foundation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Foundation is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Foundation is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Foundation Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Foundation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Foundation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Foundation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.93 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 7 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.95 | 7.93 | 0.25 |
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First Foundation Hype Timeline
First Foundation is currently traded for 7.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. First is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on First Foundation is about 1984.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.89. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.71. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Foundation has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.8. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.26. The firm last dividend was issued on the 3rd of May 2024. First Foundation had 2:1 split on the 19th of January 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out First Foundation Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Foundation Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Foundation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Foundation's future price movements. Getting to know how First Foundation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Foundation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VBTX | Veritex Holdings | 0.08 | 8 per month | 1.26 | 0.09 | 3.18 | (1.90) | 16.33 | |
| CNOB | ConnectOne Bancorp | (0.65) | 8 per month | 1.84 | 0.03 | 3.44 | (3.03) | 20.79 | |
| FBMS | The First Bancshares, | (1.29) | 9 per month | 1.56 | 0.02 | 3.88 | (3.51) | 16.66 | |
| FMBH | First Mid Illinois | 0.04 | 8 per month | 1.56 | (0.01) | 2.87 | (2.64) | 18.64 | |
| PPBI | Pacific Premier Bancorp | 0.83 | 9 per month | 1.92 | 0.02 | 4.19 | (3.33) | 19.99 |
First Foundation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About First Foundation Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Foundation stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Foundation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Foundation based on analysis of First Foundation hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Foundation's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Foundation's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0146 | 0.0307 | 0.0165 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.76 | 2.46 | 3.12 |
Story Coverage note for First Foundation
The number of cover stories for First Foundation depends on current market conditions and First Foundation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Foundation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Foundation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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First Foundation Short Properties
First Foundation's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Foundation's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Foundation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Foundation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Foundation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
Check out First Foundation Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in First Stock, please use our How to Invest in First Foundation guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Foundation. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Foundation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.93) | Dividend Share 0.01 | Earnings Share (1.26) | Revenue Per Share 1.829 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of First Foundation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Foundation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Foundation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Foundation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Foundation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Foundation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Foundation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Foundation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.