Northfield Bancorp Stock Price Prediction

NFBK Stock  USD 13.78  0.48  3.61%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Northfield Bancorp's share price is above 70 as of now. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Northfield, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Northfield Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Northfield Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Northfield Bancorp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.16)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.18
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.6567
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.9467
Wall Street Target Price
13.1667
Using Northfield Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Northfield Bancorp from the perspective of Northfield Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Northfield Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Northfield because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Northfield Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Northfield Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Northfield Stock please use our How to buy in Northfield Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.9615.9318.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3513.3116.28
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.0618.7520.81
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.160.180.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Northfield Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Northfield Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Northfield Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Northfield Bancorp.

Northfield Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Northfield Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Northfield Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Northfield Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Northfield Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Northfield Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Northfield Bancorp's historical news coverage. Northfield Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.68 and 16.62, respectively. We have considered Northfield Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.78
13.65
After-hype Price
16.62
Upside
Northfield Bancorp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Northfield Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Northfield Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Northfield Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northfield Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Northfield Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
2.97
  0.13 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
12 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.78
13.65
0.94 
660.00  
Notes

Northfield Bancorp Hype Timeline

Northfield Bancorp is now traded for 13.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Northfield is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.94%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Northfield Bancorp is about 9039.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.79. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.85. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Northfield Bancorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.35. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of November 2024. The firm had 14029:1000 split on the 25th of January 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Northfield Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Northfield Stock please use our How to buy in Northfield Stock guide.

Northfield Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Northfield Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Northfield Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Northfield Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Northfield Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.59 8 per month 0.75  0.04  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.12)10 per month 1.07  0.05  2.64 (2.16) 9.14 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest 0.07 5 per month 0.76 (0.11) 1.65 (1.13) 4.32 
HBCPHome Bancorp(0.10)8 per month 1.75  0.09  3.76 (3.12) 12.98 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.11  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 6 per month 2.43 (0.02) 3.82 (4.31) 21.70 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.15)10 per month 1.70  0.01  4.11 (2.82) 14.21 
FCAPFirst Capital 0.48 8 per month 1.89 (0.01) 6.22 (3.53) 14.42 
FCCOFirst Community(0.11)8 per month 0.95  0.11  4.19 (2.20) 11.05 
LNKBLINKBANCORP(0.09)6 per month 1.52  0.08  4.29 (2.70) 10.82 
HFWAHeritage Financial(0.44)8 per month 1.59  0.08  3.50 (2.26) 19.67 
HTBKHeritage Commerce Corp(0.05)8 per month 1.38  0.04  3.53 (2.24) 17.09 
NBHCNational Bank Holdings 0.57 9 per month 1.62  0.05  3.29 (2.64) 17.64 
BWFGBankwell Financial Group(0.04)7 per month 2.20  0.08  3.64 (4.51) 17.30 

Northfield Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Northfield price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Northfield using various technical indicators. When you analyze Northfield charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Northfield Bancorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Northfield Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Northfield Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Northfield Bancorp based on analysis of Northfield Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Northfield Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Northfield Bancorp's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03110.03320.04160.0437
Price To Sales Ratio4.64.374.053.85

Story Coverage note for Northfield Bancorp

The number of cover stories for Northfield Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Northfield Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Northfield Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Northfield Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Northfield Bancorp Short Properties

Northfield Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Northfield Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Northfield Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Northfield Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northfield Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments-13.9 M
When determining whether Northfield Bancorp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Northfield Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Northfield Bancorp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Northfield Bancorp Stock:
Check out Northfield Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Northfield Stock please use our How to buy in Northfield Stock guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northfield Bancorp. If investors know Northfield will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northfield Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.16)
Dividend Share
0.52
Earnings Share
0.64
Revenue Per Share
2.964
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Northfield Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northfield that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northfield Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northfield Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northfield Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northfield Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northfield Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northfield Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northfield Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.