Five Below Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 78.23 115.44 118.65 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 83.71 86.92 90.13 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Lower Middle Band Upper 82.54 85.78 89.01 Details

Five Below After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Five Below Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Five Below Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.13	3.21	0.00	0.72	0 Events / Month	5 Events / Month	In a few days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
86.92	86.99	0.08	0.00   Notes

Five Below Hype Timeline

Five Below is currently traded for 86.92. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.72. Five is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 86.99 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Five Below is about 58.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 87.64. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.56 B. Net Income was 301.11 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.1 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Five Below Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Five Stock refer to our How to Trade Five Stock guide.

Five Below Related Hype Analysis

Five Below Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Five price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Five using various technical indicators. When you analyze Five charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Five Below stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Five Below, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Five Below based on analysis of Five Below hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Five Below depends on current market conditions and Five Below's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Five Below is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Five Below's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Five Below's future price predictability will typically decrease when Five Below's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Five Below often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Five Below's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Five Below's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Five Below's price analysis, check to measure Five Below's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Five Below is operating at the current time. Most of Five Below's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Five Below's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Five Below's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Five Below to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.