First Investors Opportunity Fund Price Prediction
| FIVUX Fund | USD 39.93 0.31 0.77% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
70
Oversold | Overbought |
Using First Investors hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Investors Opportunity from the perspective of First Investors response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Investors to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Investors after-hype prediction price | USD 39.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Investors' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Investors After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Investors at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Investors or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of First Investors, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Investors Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Investors' mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Investors' historical news coverage. First Investors' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.13 and 40.73, respectively. We have considered First Investors' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Investors is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Investors Oppo is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Investors Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as First Investors is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Investors backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Investors, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 0.80 | 3.71 | 8.78 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
39.93 | 39.93 | 0.00 |
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First Investors Hype Timeline
First Investors Oppo is currently traded for 39.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -3.71, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 8.78. First is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 2.8%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Investors is about 1.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.71. The company last dividend was issued on the 19th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out First Investors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Investors Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Investors' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Investors' future price movements. Getting to know how First Investors' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Investors may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARTFX | Artisan High Income | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.63) | 0.22 | (0.11) | 0.77 | |
| PRINX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.22 | (0.41) | 0.44 | (0.44) | 1.59 | |
| TTRBX | Ambrus Core Bond | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.77) | 0.30 | (0.30) | 0.70 | |
| XDLYX | Doubleline Yield Opportunities | 538.41 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.63) | 0.24 | (0.31) | 1.11 | |
| PATFX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.24 | (0.42) | 0.44 | (0.35) | 1.69 | |
| TPYYX | Touchstone Premium Yield | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.73 | (0) | 1.40 | (1.19) | 5.39 | |
| FHYIX | Franklin High Yield | 2.03 | 5 per month | 0.25 | (0.38) | 0.43 | (0.32) | 1.85 | |
| DHGCX | Dreyfusstandish Global Fixed | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.17 | (0.65) | 0.31 | (0.25) | 0.96 |
First Investors Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About First Investors Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Investors stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Investors Opportunity, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Investors based on analysis of First Investors hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Investors's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Investors's related companies.
Story Coverage note for First Investors
The number of cover stories for First Investors depends on current market conditions and First Investors' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Investors is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Investors' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in First Mutual Fund
First Investors financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Investors security.
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