Flagstar Financial Stock Price Prediction
| FLG Stock | 12.94 0.14 1.07% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.039 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.42) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6077 | Wall Street Target Price 14.1324 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.07) |
Using Flagstar Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Flagstar Financial from the perspective of Flagstar Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Flagstar Financial using Flagstar Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Flagstar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Flagstar Financial's stock price.
Flagstar Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Flagstar Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Flagstar. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Flagstar Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 11.8748 | Short Percent 0.2245 | Short Ratio 12.11 | Shares Short Prior Month 56.4 M | 50 Day MA 12.492 |
Flagstar Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Flagstar Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Flagstar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Flagstar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Flagstar Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Flagstar Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Flagstar Financial.
Flagstar Financial Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Flagstar Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Flagstar Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Flagstar Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Flagstar Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Flagstar Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Flagstar Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Flagstar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Flagstar Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 12.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Flagstar contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Flagstar Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Flagstar Financial trading at USD 12.94, that is roughly USD 0.004044 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Flagstar Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Flagstar Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Flagstar Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Flagstar Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Flagstar Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Flagstar Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Flagstar Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Flagstar Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Flagstar Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Flagstar Financial's historical news coverage. Flagstar Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.10 and 14.78, respectively. We have considered Flagstar Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Flagstar Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Flagstar Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Flagstar Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Flagstar Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Flagstar Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Flagstar Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.84 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 26 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 26 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.94 | 12.94 | 0.00 |
|
Flagstar Financial Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Flagstar Financial is traded for 12.94. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Flagstar is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Flagstar Financial is about 2453.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.96. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.72. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Flagstar Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.47. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.89. The firm last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2025. Flagstar Financial had 1:3 split on the 12th of July 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 26 days. Check out Flagstar Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Flagstar Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Flagstar Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Flagstar Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Flagstar Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Flagstar Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GBCI | Glacier Bancorp | 0.14 | 11 per month | 1.61 | 0.08 | 3.25 | (1.94) | 9.59 | |
| IFS | Intercorp Financial Services | 1.80 | 18 per month | 1.35 | 0.12 | 3.68 | (2.88) | 5.62 | |
| AUB | Atlantic Union Bankshares | (0.98) | 5 per month | 1.04 | 0.12 | 3.79 | (1.90) | 9.06 | |
| HWC | Hancock Whitney Corp | 0.49 | 10 per month | 0.80 | 0.17 | 2.85 | (1.12) | 7.32 | |
| AX | Axos Financial | 0.51 | 14 per month | 1.47 | 0.10 | 3.18 | (2.60) | 8.23 | |
| ABCB | Ameris Bancorp | (0.89) | 7 per month | 1.07 | 0.06 | 2.71 | (1.87) | 6.79 | |
| AVAL | Grupo Aval | (0.16) | 9 per month | 1.55 | 0.15 | 4.39 | (3.23) | 7.37 | |
| UBSI | United Bankshares | (0.89) | 17 per month | 0.99 | 0.14 | 3.05 | (1.94) | 8.75 | |
| OZK | Bank Ozk | (0.14) | 3 per month | 1.23 | 0 | 2.43 | (2.13) | 7.47 | |
| FFIN | First Financial Bankshares | 0.87 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.50 | (2.22) | 7.40 |
Flagstar Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Flagstar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Flagstar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Flagstar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Flagstar Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Flagstar Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Flagstar Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Flagstar Financial based on analysis of Flagstar Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Flagstar Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Flagstar Financial's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0699 | 0.0294 | 0.0265 | 0.0436 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.23 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 0.51 |
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Complementary Tools for Flagstar Stock analysis
When running Flagstar Financial's price analysis, check to measure Flagstar Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flagstar Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Flagstar Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flagstar Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flagstar Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flagstar Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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