Flight Centre (Germany) Price Prediction
| FLI Stock | EUR 10.50 0.10 0.96% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Flight Centre hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Flight Centre Travel from the perspective of Flight Centre response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Flight Centre to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Flight because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Flight Centre after-hype prediction price | EUR 10.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Flight |
Flight Centre After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Flight Centre at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Flight Centre or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Flight Centre, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Flight Centre Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Flight Centre's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Flight Centre's historical news coverage. Flight Centre's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.46 and 13.54, respectively. We have considered Flight Centre's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Flight Centre is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Flight Centre Travel is based on 3 months time horizon.
Flight Centre Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Flight Centre is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Flight Centre backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Flight Centre, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 3.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.50 | 10.50 | 0.00 |
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Flight Centre Hype Timeline
Flight Centre Travel is currently traded for 10.50on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Flight is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Flight Centre is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.50. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Flight Centre was currently reported as 3.96. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.36. Flight Centre Travel last dividend was issued on the 26th of March 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Flight Centre Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Flight Centre Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Flight Centre's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Flight Centre's future price movements. Getting to know how Flight Centre's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Flight Centre may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| M3V | MeVis Medical Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.72 | (1.67) | 6.67 | |
| DMN | Diamyd Medical AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 5.74 | (4.32) | 15.68 | |
| DSG | DICKS Sporting Goods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.00 | (3.00) | 9.02 | |
| B3BN | CVR Medical Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FUY | Fukuyama Transporting Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.80 | (2.54) | 12.14 | |
| T7W | Treasury Wine Estates | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.82 | (2.95) | 13.11 | |
| SCG | SPORTING | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 3.66 | (0.93) | 18.02 | |
| AQA | Advanced Medical Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.33 | (3.42) | 15.84 |
Flight Centre Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Flight price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Flight using various technical indicators. When you analyze Flight charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Flight Centre Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Flight Centre stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Flight Centre Travel, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Flight Centre based on analysis of Flight Centre hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Flight Centre's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Flight Centre's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Flight Centre
The number of cover stories for Flight Centre depends on current market conditions and Flight Centre's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Flight Centre is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Flight Centre's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Flight Centre Short Properties
Flight Centre's future price predictability will typically decrease when Flight Centre's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Flight Centre Travel often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Flight Centre's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flight Centre's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 199.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Flight Stock analysis
When running Flight Centre's price analysis, check to measure Flight Centre's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flight Centre is operating at the current time. Most of Flight Centre's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flight Centre's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flight Centre's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flight Centre to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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