Fmc Corporation Stock Price Prediction
| FMC Stock | USD 56.38 0.05 0.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.827 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.74 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.3031 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.3573 | Wall Street Target Price 69.0622 |
Using FMC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FMC Corporation from the perspective of FMC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards FMC using FMC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FMC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of FMC's stock price.
FMC Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in FMC's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards FMC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of FMC stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 59.13 | Short Percent 0.0666 | Short Ratio 3.79 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.3 M | 50 Day MA 54.0746 |
FMC Corporation Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to FMC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FMC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FMC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FMC Corporation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of FMC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about FMC.
FMC Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
FMC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FMC Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FMC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FMC stock will not fluctuate a lot when FMC's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FMC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FMC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
FMC after-hype prediction price | USD 56.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current FMC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that FMC Corporation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With FMC trading at USD 56.38, that is roughly USD 0.0183 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating FMC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring FMC Corporation options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
FMC |
FMC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FMC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FMC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FMC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FMC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FMC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FMC's historical news coverage. FMC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.29 and 58.43, respectively. We have considered FMC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FMC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FMC Corporation is based on 3 months time horizon.
FMC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FMC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FMC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FMC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.07 | 0.32 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
56.38 | 56.36 | 0.04 |
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FMC Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January FMC Corporation is traded for 56.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.32, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. FMC is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 56.36. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 97.18%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on FMC is about 2123.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.39. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.53. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FMC Corporation has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.85. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.19. The firm last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2024. FMC had 1153:1000 split on the 4th of March 2019. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out FMC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.FMC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FMC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FMC's future price movements. Getting to know how FMC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FMC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CF | CF Industries Holdings | (0.21) | 11 per month | 2.05 | 0.04 | 2.80 | (3.15) | 15.09 | |
| MOS | The Mosaic | 1.38 | 8 per month | 2.25 | 0.02 | 3.68 | (3.39) | 13.09 | |
| NTR | Nutrien | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | 0.04 | 3.42 | (2.22) | 8.76 | |
| SMG | Scotts Miracle Gro | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.38 | (4.81) | 22.62 | |
| IPI | Intrepid Potash | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.35 | 0.02 | 5.32 | (3.69) | 14.45 | |
| CTVA | Corteva | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.56 | 0.03 | 3.21 | (2.38) | 8.42 | |
| BIOX | Bioceres Crop Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.01 | 0.02 | 6.53 | (4.88) | 15.29 | |
| CTA-PB | E I du | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.44 | (1.62) | 4.52 | |
| BHIL | Benson Hill, Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 10.53 | (11.40) | 36.87 | |
| AVD | American Vanguard | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.99 | 0.06 | 7.08 | (5.36) | 16.06 | |
| UAN | CVR Partners LP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | 0.17 | 3.91 | (1.62) | 10.55 | |
| ICL | ICL Israel Chemicals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | 0.23 | 5.77 | (2.82) | 10.00 |
FMC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FMC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FMC using various technical indicators. When you analyze FMC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About FMC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of FMC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FMC Corporation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FMC based on analysis of FMC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FMC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FMC's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.017 | 0.0367 | 0.0422 | 0.0443 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.71 | 1.76 | 1.59 | 0.96 |
Story Coverage note for FMC
The number of cover stories for FMC depends on current market conditions and FMC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FMC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FMC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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FMC Short Properties
FMC's future price predictability will typically decrease when FMC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FMC Corporation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FMC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FMC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 125.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 302.4 M |
Complementary Tools for FMC Stock analysis
When running FMC's price analysis, check to measure FMC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FMC is operating at the current time. Most of FMC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FMC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FMC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FMC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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