Fabrinet Stock Price Patterns
| FN Stock | USD 503.99 61.29 13.84% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.307 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.4408 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.5792 | EPS Estimate Next Year 15.8502 | Wall Street Target Price 517.4 |
Using Fabrinet hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fabrinet from the perspective of Fabrinet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fabrinet using Fabrinet's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fabrinet using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fabrinet's stock price.
Fabrinet Short Interest
An investor who is long Fabrinet may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fabrinet and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fabrinet with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 356.2321 | Short Percent 0.0669 | Short Ratio 3.06 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 469.4058 |
Fabrinet Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fabrinet's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fabrinet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fabrinet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fabrinet. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fabrinet's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fabrinet.
Fabrinet Implied Volatility | 0.79 |
Fabrinet's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fabrinet stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fabrinet's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fabrinet stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fabrinet's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fabrinet to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fabrinet because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fabrinet after-hype prediction price | USD 503.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fabrinet contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fabrinet will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0494% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Fabrinet trading at USD 503.99, that is roughly USD 0.25 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fabrinet's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fabrinet options at the current volatility level of 0.79%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Fabrinet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Fabrinet After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fabrinet at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fabrinet or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fabrinet, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fabrinet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fabrinet's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fabrinet's historical news coverage. Fabrinet's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 499.34 and 508.12, respectively. We have considered Fabrinet's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fabrinet is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fabrinet is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fabrinet Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fabrinet is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fabrinet backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fabrinet, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 4.39 | 0.26 | 0.32 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
503.99 | 503.73 | 0.05 |
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Fabrinet Hype Timeline
As of February 7, 2026 Fabrinet is listed for 503.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.32. Fabrinet is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 503.73. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Fabrinet is about 306.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 503.67. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.19. Fabrinet recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.45. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2010. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Fabrinet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fabrinet Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fabrinet's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fabrinet's future price movements. Getting to know how Fabrinet's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fabrinet may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FTV | Fortive Corp | (0.03) | 11 per month | 1.15 | 0.11 | 3.05 | (2.36) | 10.52 | |
| TRMB | Trimble | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.64 | (4.80) | 9.57 | |
| MKSI | MKS Instruments | (7.33) | 10 per month | 2.35 | 0.22 | 5.59 | (4.83) | 17.56 | |
| DT | Dynatrace Holdings LLC | 1.17 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 2.52 | (4.08) | 13.36 | |
| GEN | Gen Digital | (0.37) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.26 | (3.59) | 9.21 | |
| ENTG | Entegris | (0.06) | 9 per month | 2.63 | 0.12 | 7.07 | (4.46) | 13.92 | |
| DOCU | DocuSign | (2.34) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 3.08 | (5.19) | 18.12 | |
| BSY | Bentley Systems | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.36) | 2.89 | (3.68) | 10.70 | |
| LITE | Lumentum Holdings | (14.41) | 9 per month | 5.10 | 0.25 | 11.31 | (10.62) | 36.83 | |
| ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | 9.08 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.11 | (3.78) | 10.47 |
Fabrinet Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fabrinet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fabrinet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fabrinet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Fabrinet Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fabrinet stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fabrinet, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fabrinet based on analysis of Fabrinet hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fabrinet's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fabrinet's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0277 | 0.0495 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.79 | 1.01 |
Pair Trading with Fabrinet
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Fabrinet position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Fabrinet will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Fabrinet Stock
| 0.54 | BRK-A | Berkshire Hathaway | PairCorr |
| 0.52 | REFR | Research Frontiers | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | VLCN | Volcon Inc Symbol Change | PairCorr |
| 0.44 | TRNR | Interactive Strength | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | DSWL | Deswell Industries | PairCorr |
| 0.35 | APVO | Aptevo Therapeutics | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Fabrinet could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Fabrinet when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Fabrinet - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Fabrinet to buy it.
The correlation of Fabrinet is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Fabrinet moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Fabrinet moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Fabrinet can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Fabrinet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Fabrinet Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fabrinet guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Will Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector continue expanding? Could Fabrinet diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fabrinet. Market participants price Fabrinet higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Fabrinet data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.307 | Earnings Share 10.45 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.359 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Fabrinet requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Fabrinet's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Fabrinet's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Fabrinet's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fabrinet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fabrinet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Fabrinet's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.