Lb Foster Stock Price Prediction
| FSTR Stock | USD 27.80 0.53 1.94% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
74
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 67.659 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.29 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.145 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.85 | Wall Street Target Price 30 |
Using LB Foster hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LB Foster from the perspective of LB Foster response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LB Foster to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FSTR because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LB Foster after-hype prediction price | USD 28.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FSTR |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LB Foster's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LB Foster After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LB Foster at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LB Foster or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LB Foster, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LB Foster Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LB Foster's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LB Foster's historical news coverage. LB Foster's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.37 and 31.43, respectively. We have considered LB Foster's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LB Foster is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LB Foster is based on 3 months time horizon.
LB Foster Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LB Foster is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LB Foster backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LB Foster, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.62 | 3.03 | 0.60 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.80 | 28.40 | 2.16 |
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LB Foster Hype Timeline
LB Foster is currently traded for 27.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.6, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. FSTR is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 28.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 2.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.62%. The volatility of related hype on LB Foster is about 5050.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.84. LB Foster currently holds 67.14 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.64, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out LB Foster Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LB Foster Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LB Foster's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LB Foster's future price movements. Getting to know how LB Foster's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LB Foster may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRN | Trinity Industries | 0.11 | 10 per month | 1.80 | 0.07 | 2.85 | (3.25) | 11.92 | |
| RAIL | Freightcar America | (0.23) | 9 per month | 7.67 | 0.12 | 10.76 | (9.73) | 49.53 | |
| WAB | Westinghouse Air Brake | (1.56) | 11 per month | 0.55 | 0.16 | 2.14 | (1.07) | 5.10 | |
| NSC | Norfolk Southern | (1.07) | 10 per month | 1.31 | 0.05 | 2.69 | (2.27) | 12.14 | |
| GBX | Greenbrier Companies | 0.81 | 12 per month | 0.82 | 0.18 | 3.46 | (2.32) | 19.01 | |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | 0.50 | 11 per month | 1.79 | 0 | 2.20 | (2.44) | 11.99 | |
| UNP | Union Pacific | 1.00 | 9 per month | 1.40 | (0.09) | 1.72 | (2.01) | 8.64 | |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Railway | 0.32 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.07 | (1.66) | 4.89 | |
| CNI | Canadian National Railway | 0.66 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.21 | (1.71) | 5.28 |
LB Foster Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FSTR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FSTR using various technical indicators. When you analyze FSTR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About LB Foster Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LB Foster stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LB Foster, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LB Foster based on analysis of LB Foster hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LB Foster's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LB Foster's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 1.67 | 0.87 | Dividend Yield | 0.008014 | 0.004252 |
Story Coverage note for LB Foster
The number of cover stories for LB Foster depends on current market conditions and LB Foster's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LB Foster is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LB Foster's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LB Foster Short Properties
LB Foster's future price predictability will typically decrease when LB Foster's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LB Foster often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LB Foster's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LB Foster's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 M |
Additional Tools for FSTR Stock Analysis
When running LB Foster's price analysis, check to measure LB Foster's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LB Foster is operating at the current time. Most of LB Foster's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LB Foster's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LB Foster's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LB Foster to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.