Gladstone Investment Stock Price Prediction
| GAIN Stock | USD 13.89 0.11 0.80% |
Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.77 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.232 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.852 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.92 | Wall Street Target Price 14.125 |
Using Gladstone Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gladstone Investment from the perspective of Gladstone Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gladstone Investment using Gladstone Investment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gladstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gladstone Investment's stock price.
Gladstone Investment Implied Volatility | 1.31 |
Gladstone Investment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gladstone Investment stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gladstone Investment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gladstone Investment stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gladstone Investment's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gladstone Investment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gladstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gladstone Investment after-hype prediction price | USD 13.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gladstone contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gladstone Investment will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0819% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Gladstone Investment trading at USD 13.89, that is roughly USD 0.0114 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gladstone Investment's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gladstone Investment options at the current volatility level of 1.31%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Gladstone | Build AI portfolio with Gladstone Stock |
Gladstone Investment After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gladstone Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gladstone Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gladstone Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gladstone Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gladstone Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gladstone Investment's historical news coverage. Gladstone Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.14 and 14.64, respectively. We have considered Gladstone Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gladstone Investment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gladstone Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gladstone Investment Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gladstone Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gladstone Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gladstone Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.89 | 13.89 | 0.00 |
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Gladstone Investment Hype Timeline
Gladstone Investment is currently traded for 13.89. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gladstone is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gladstone Investment is about 852.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.89. About 17.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.02. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Gladstone Investment last dividend was issued on the 18th of February 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Gladstone Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gladstone Investment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gladstone Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gladstone Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Gladstone Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gladstone Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GLAD | Gladstone Capital | (0.18) | 8 per month | 1.10 | 0.03 | 2.09 | (1.72) | 9.50 | |
| PNNT | PennantPark Investment | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.16 | (2.42) | 7.91 | |
| CCAP | Crescent Capital BDC | (0.18) | 7 per month | 1.39 | 0.01 | 2.37 | (2.37) | 6.85 | |
| MSIF | MSCome Fund | (0.02) | 4 per month | 1.65 | (0.01) | 2.91 | (2.89) | 11.44 | |
| CION | Cion Investment Corp | (0.06) | 8 per month | 1.53 | (0.01) | 1.77 | (2.28) | 10.23 | |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corp | (0.06) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.94 | (1.84) | 5.94 | |
| GAM | General American Investors | (0.44) | 9 per month | 0.32 | 0.07 | 1.04 | (0.83) | 2.57 | |
| TCPC | BlackRock TCP Capital | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.55 | (2.35) | 8.47 | |
| ALTI | Alvarium Tiedemann Holdings | 0.20 | 7 per month | 3.18 | 0.06 | 5.59 | (4.92) | 21.63 | |
| HQL | Tekla Life Sciences | (0.22) | 1 per month | 1.41 | 0.01 | 2.88 | (2.20) | 6.78 |
Gladstone Investment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gladstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gladstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gladstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gladstone Investment Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gladstone Investment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gladstone Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gladstone Investment based on analysis of Gladstone Investment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gladstone Investment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gladstone Investment's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.0782 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.69 | 5.46 | 5.97 |
Pair Trading with Gladstone Investment
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Gladstone Investment position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Gladstone Investment will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Gladstone Stock
Moving against Gladstone Stock
| 0.47 | IPX | Impax Asset Management | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | LIO | Liontrust Asset Mana | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | TAM | Tatton Asset Management | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Gladstone Investment could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Gladstone Investment when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Gladstone Investment - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Gladstone Investment to buy it.
The correlation of Gladstone Investment is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Gladstone Investment moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Gladstone Investment moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Gladstone Investment can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Gladstone Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Gladstone Stock, please use our How to Invest in Gladstone Investment guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gladstone Investment. If investors know Gladstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gladstone Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.77 | Dividend Share 0.96 | Earnings Share 2.51 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.12 |
The market value of Gladstone Investment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gladstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gladstone Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gladstone Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gladstone Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gladstone Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gladstone Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gladstone Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gladstone Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.