General American Investors Stock Price Prediction
| GAM Stock | USD 49.57 0.36 0.72% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.011 |
Using General American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of General American Investors from the perspective of General American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in General American to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying General because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
General American after-hype prediction price | USD 49.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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General American After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of General American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in General American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of General American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
General American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting General American's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on General American's historical news coverage. General American's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.84 and 50.30, respectively. We have considered General American's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
General American is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of General American Inv is based on 3 months time horizon.
General American Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as General American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading General American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with General American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.74 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
49.57 | 49.57 | 0.00 |
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General American Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November General American Inv is traded for 49.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. General is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on General American is about 6937.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.57. About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.83. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. General American Inv recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.79. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out General American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.General American Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to General American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict General American's future price movements. Getting to know how General American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how General American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
General American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine General price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for General using various technical indicators. When you analyze General charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About General American Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of General American stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as General American Investors, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of General American based on analysis of General American hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to General American's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to General American's related companies. | 2020 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Price Fair Value | 0.51 | 0.46 | 0.69 | Gross Profit Margin | 0.88 | 0.0904 | 0.0858 |
Story Coverage note for General American
The number of cover stories for General American depends on current market conditions and General American's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that General American is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about General American's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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General American Short Properties
General American's future price predictability will typically decrease when General American's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of General American Investors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential General American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.55 | |
| Shares Float | 21 M |
Check out General American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of General American. If investors know General will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about General American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Dividend Share 2.65 | Earnings Share 12.79 | Revenue Per Share 1.147 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.011 |
The market value of General American Inv is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of General that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of General American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is General American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because General American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect General American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between General American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if General American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, General American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.