General American Investors Stock Price Patterns
| GAM Stock | USD 60.77 0.12 0.20% |
Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.058 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) |
Using General American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of General American Investors from the perspective of General American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in General American to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying General because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
General American after-hype prediction price | USD 60.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out General American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. General American After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of General American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in General American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of General American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
General American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting General American's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on General American's historical news coverage. General American's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 60.28 and 61.40, respectively. We have considered General American's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
General American is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of General American Inv is based on 3 months time horizon.
General American Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as General American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading General American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with General American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 0.56 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
60.77 | 60.84 | 0.12 |
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General American Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January General American Inv is traded for 60.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. General is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 60.84 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 83.58%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on General American is about 95.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.83. The company reported the last year's revenue of 251.67 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 245.46 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 27.65 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out General American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.General American Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to General American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict General American's future price movements. Getting to know how General American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how General American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CET | Central Securities | (0.08) | 18 per month | 0.50 | 0.07 | 1.13 | (1.05) | 3.06 | |
| OXLC | Oxford Lane Capital | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.71 | (0.03) | 2.51 | (2.69) | 9.59 | |
| FSCO | FS Credit Opportunities | 0.06 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.95 | (2.54) | 6.58 | |
| VRTS | Virtus Investment Partners | 6.32 | 12 per month | 1.70 | (0.02) | 2.94 | (2.99) | 8.72 | |
| TY | Tri Continental Closed | (0.09) | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.04 | (0.89) | 7.86 | |
| FRME | First Merchants | (0.23) | 10 per month | 1.25 | 0.02 | 2.80 | (1.59) | 8.32 | |
| GSBD | Goldman Sachs BDC | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.88 | (1.93) | 4.85 | |
| MBIN | Merchants Bancorp | 1.36 | 9 per month | 1.59 | 0.11 | 4.14 | (2.97) | 8.63 | |
| MSDL | Morgan Stanley Direct | (0.28) | 29 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.82 | (1.84) | 6.37 | |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | (1.20) | 8 per month | 2.09 | 0.08 | 3.38 | (3.22) | 9.38 |
General American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine General price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for General using various technical indicators. When you analyze General charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About General American Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of General American stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as General American Investors, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of General American based on analysis of General American hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to General American's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to General American's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.8 | Dividend Yield | 0.0408 | 0.0622 | 0.0882 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out General American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could General diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of General American. Market participants price General higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every General American data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.058 | Dividend Share 4.75 | Earnings Share 8.89 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) |
The market value of General American Inv is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of General that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of General American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is General American's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because General American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect General American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between General American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if General American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, General American's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.