Gfl Environmental Holdings Stock Price Patterns
| GFL Stock | USD 43.47 0.14 0.32% |
Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.222 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1088 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.9862 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3727 | Wall Street Target Price 54.7437 |
Using Gfl Environmental hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gfl Environmental Holdings from the perspective of Gfl Environmental response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gfl Environmental using Gfl Environmental's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gfl using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gfl Environmental's stock price.
Gfl Environmental Short Interest
An investor who is long Gfl Environmental may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gfl Environmental and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gfl Environmental with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 46.6939 | Short Percent 0.0375 | Short Ratio 3.41 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.2 M | 50 Day MA 43.3308 |
Gfl Environmental Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gfl Environmental's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gfl. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gfl can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gfl Environmental Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gfl Environmental's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gfl Environmental.
Gfl Environmental Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
Gfl Environmental's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gfl Environmental Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gfl Environmental's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gfl Environmental stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gfl Environmental's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gfl Environmental to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gfl because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gfl Environmental after-hype prediction price | USD 43.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gfl contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gfl Environmental Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Gfl Environmental trading at USD 43.47, that is roughly USD 0.0114 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gfl Environmental's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gfl Environmental Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Gfl Environmental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Gfl Environmental After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gfl Environmental at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gfl Environmental or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gfl Environmental, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gfl Environmental Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gfl Environmental's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gfl Environmental's historical news coverage. Gfl Environmental's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.00 and 44.94, respectively. We have considered Gfl Environmental's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gfl Environmental is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gfl Environmental is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gfl Environmental Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gfl Environmental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gfl Environmental backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gfl Environmental, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.47 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
43.47 | 43.47 | 0.00 |
|
Gfl Environmental Hype Timeline
On the 19th of February Gfl Environmental is traded for 43.47. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.1. Gfl is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gfl Environmental is about 70.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.57. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Gfl Environmental was currently reported as 14.96. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of January 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Gfl Environmental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gfl Environmental Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gfl Environmental's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gfl Environmental's future price movements. Getting to know how Gfl Environmental's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gfl Environmental may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KTOS | Kratos Defense Security | 4.21 | 7 per month | 4.13 | 0.08 | 9.28 | (6.53) | 25.43 | |
| CLH | Clean Harbors | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.77 | 0.22 | 3.79 | (1.74) | 7.76 | |
| CRS | Carpenter Technology | 19.78 | 11 per month | 2.39 | 0.05 | 5.30 | (4.98) | 13.86 | |
| MTZ | MasTec Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.95 | 0.23 | 4.38 | (4.09) | 13.07 | |
| WWD | Woodward | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | 0.23 | 3.61 | (2.14) | 16.03 | |
| APG | Api Group Corp | 0.11 | 11 per month | 1.20 | 0.1 | 3.41 | (2.16) | 8.44 | |
| LUV | Southwest Airlines | (2.81) | 5 per month | 1.06 | 0.24 | 5.29 | (2.39) | 23.58 | |
| ZTO | ZTO Express | 0.14 | 9 per month | 0.87 | 0.24 | 2.83 | (1.81) | 7.33 | |
| ULS | UL Solutions | (2.39) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.60 | (3.49) | 12.63 | |
| TRU | TransUnion | 1.83 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.04 | (3.52) | 16.82 |
Gfl Environmental Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gfl price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gfl using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gfl charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gfl Environmental Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gfl Environmental stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gfl Environmental Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gfl Environmental based on analysis of Gfl Environmental hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gfl Environmental's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gfl Environmental's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.00148 | 0.001156 | 0.001427 | 0.001002 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.25 | 3.1 | 3.29 | 4.57 |
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Gfl Environmental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gfl Environmental. Market participants price Gfl higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Gfl Environmental assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.222 | Dividend Share 0.084 | Earnings Share 0.41 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
Investors evaluate Gfl Environmental using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Gfl Environmental's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Gfl Environmental's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gfl Environmental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gfl Environmental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Gfl Environmental's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.