Gfl Environmental Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| GFL Stock | USD 45.77 0.50 1.10% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
73
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.972 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.16 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.8261 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3635 | Wall Street Target Price 71.274 |
Using Gfl Environmental hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gfl Environmental Holdings from the perspective of Gfl Environmental response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gfl Environmental using Gfl Environmental's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gfl using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gfl Environmental's stock price.
Gfl Environmental Short Interest
An investor who is long Gfl Environmental may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gfl Environmental and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gfl Environmental with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 37.6415 | Short Percent 0.0452 | Short Ratio 8.36 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.2 M | 50 Day MA 41.3166 |
Gfl Environmental Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gfl Environmental's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gfl. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gfl can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gfl Environmental Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gfl Environmental's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gfl Environmental.
Gfl Environmental Implied Volatility | 0.64 |
Gfl Environmental's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gfl Environmental Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gfl Environmental's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gfl Environmental stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gfl Environmental's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gfl Environmental to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gfl because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gfl Environmental after-hype prediction price | USD 45.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gfl |
Gfl Environmental After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gfl Environmental at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gfl Environmental or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gfl Environmental, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gfl Environmental Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gfl Environmental's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gfl Environmental's historical news coverage. Gfl Environmental's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.15 and 47.31, respectively. We have considered Gfl Environmental's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gfl Environmental is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gfl Environmental is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gfl Environmental Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gfl Environmental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gfl Environmental backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gfl Environmental, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.57 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
45.77 | 45.73 | 0.09 |
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Gfl Environmental Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Gfl Environmental is traded for 45.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Gfl is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 45.73. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Gfl Environmental is about 6280.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.77. About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Gfl Environmental was currently reported as 17.23. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.28. Gfl Environmental last dividend was issued on the 16th of October 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Gfl Environmental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gfl Environmental Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gfl Environmental's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gfl Environmental's future price movements. Getting to know how Gfl Environmental's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gfl Environmental may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PDEX | Pro Dex | 1.60 | 11 per month | 3.87 | 0.26 | 9.99 | (5.23) | 28.08 | |
| PCYO | Pure Cycle | (0.12) | 6 per month | 1.38 | 0.14 | 3.71 | (3.22) | 13.79 | |
| QRHC | Quest Resource Holding | 0.09 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.13 | (4.18) | 18.55 | |
| AAVXF | ABIVAX Socit Anonyme | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SCRYY | SCOR PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.05 | 0.11 | 5.61 | (4.09) | 12.99 | |
| 444859BR2 | HUMANA INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.93 | (4.60) | 16.62 | |
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SCRYX | Small Cap Core | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.01 | 2.39 | (1.69) | 7.88 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | (1.82) | 1 per month | 0.52 | (0.09) | 1.21 | (1.02) | 2.80 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 0.24 | (0.24) | 0.96 |
Gfl Environmental Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gfl price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gfl using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gfl charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Gfl Environmental Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gfl Environmental stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gfl Environmental Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gfl Environmental based on analysis of Gfl Environmental hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gfl Environmental's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gfl Environmental's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001035 | 0.001424 | 0.001567 | 0.001001 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.13 | 2.15 | 2.12 | 4.0 |
Story Coverage note for Gfl Environmental
The number of cover stories for Gfl Environmental depends on current market conditions and Gfl Environmental's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gfl Environmental is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gfl Environmental's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gfl Environmental Short Properties
Gfl Environmental's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gfl Environmental's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gfl Environmental Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gfl Environmental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gfl Environmental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 349.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 135.7 M |
Check out Gfl Environmental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gfl Environmental. If investors know Gfl will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gfl Environmental listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.972 | Dividend Share 0.073 | Earnings Share (1.28) | Revenue Per Share 21.876 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.066 |
The market value of Gfl Environmental is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gfl that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gfl Environmental's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gfl Environmental's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gfl Environmental's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gfl Environmental's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gfl Environmental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gfl Environmental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gfl Environmental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.