Gladstone Capital Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 19.71 20.59 29.38 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 26.43 27.32 28.20 Details

6 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 10.01 11.00 12.21 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.50 0.53 0.57 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gladstone Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gladstone Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gladstone Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gladstone Capital.

Gladstone Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Gladstone Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Gladstone Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.28	0.89	0.06	0.02	9 Events / Month	7 Events / Month	In about 9 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
26.71	26.77	0.22	386.96   Notes

Gladstone Capital Hype Timeline

Gladstone Capital is currently traded for 26.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Gladstone is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 26.77 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Gladstone Capital is about 1369.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.73. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 96.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 63.15 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Gladstone Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Gladstone Stock refer to our How to Trade Gladstone Stock guide.

Gladstone Capital Related Hype Analysis

Gladstone Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gladstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gladstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gladstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Gladstone Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gladstone Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gladstone Capital based on analysis of Gladstone Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Gladstone Capital depends on current market conditions and Gladstone Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gladstone Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gladstone Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Gladstone Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gladstone Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gladstone Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gladstone Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Gladstone Capital's price analysis, check to measure Gladstone Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gladstone Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Gladstone Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gladstone Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gladstone Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gladstone Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.