Gogo Inc Stock Price Patterns

GOGO Stock  USD 3.92  0.22  5.31%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Gogo's share price is approaching 43. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gogo, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Gogo's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gogo Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Gogo's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
12.764
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.69
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.4398
Wall Street Target Price
10.6667
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.11
Using Gogo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gogo Inc from the perspective of Gogo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gogo using Gogo's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gogo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gogo's stock price.

Gogo Short Interest

An investor who is long Gogo may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gogo and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gogo with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
9.6219
Short Percent
0.3593
Short Ratio
6.45
Shares Short Prior Month
19.4 M
50 Day MA
5.2834

Gogo Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Gogo's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gogo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gogo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gogo Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gogo's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gogo.

Gogo Implied Volatility

    
  1.42  
Gogo's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gogo Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gogo's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gogo stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gogo's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gogo to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gogo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Gogo after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.07  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gogo contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gogo Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0888% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Gogo trading at USD 3.92, that is roughly USD 0.003479 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gogo's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gogo Inc options at the current volatility level of 1.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Gogo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.665.529.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.217.07
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.7110.6711.84
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.090.110.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gogo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gogo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gogo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gogo Inc.

Gogo After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Gogo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gogo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gogo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Gogo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Gogo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gogo's historical news coverage. Gogo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.21 and 7.93, respectively. We have considered Gogo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.92
4.07
After-hype Price
7.93
Upside
Gogo is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gogo Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Gogo Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gogo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gogo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gogo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.02 
3.86
  0.15 
  0.07 
11 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.92
4.07
3.83 
2,573  
Notes

Gogo Hype Timeline

Gogo Inc is currently traded for 3.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Gogo is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 3.83%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.02%. The volatility of related hype on Gogo is about 5888.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.99. Gogo Inc currently holds 914.93 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.56, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Gogo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Gogo Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Gogo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gogo's future price movements. Getting to know how Gogo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gogo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IDTIDT Corporation(0.89)9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.68 (2.58) 7.41 
GLIBAGCI Liberty  0.30 9 per month 2.33  0.03  3.52 (3.31) 13.46 
ATUSAltice USA 2.03 18 per month 0.00 (0.11) 5.88 (5.98) 15.67 
TVGrupo Televisa SAB 0.02 8 per month 2.16  0.09  4.14 (2.90) 14.30 
FUBOFubotv Inc(0.05)9 per month 0.00 (0.26) 4.41 (8.47) 32.90 
CRTOCriteo Sa(0.95)8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.64 (4.14) 12.13 
GIBOGlobal IBO Group 0.08 5 per month 0.00 (0.1) 9.44 (8.30) 32.13 
MOMOHello Group(0.11)7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.80 (2.55) 9.42 
MNTNMNTN Inc 0.16 7 per month 0.00 (0.38) 2.79 (6.57) 13.61 

Gogo Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gogo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gogo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gogo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Gogo Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Gogo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gogo Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gogo based on analysis of Gogo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gogo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gogo's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Payables Turnover8.262.482.232.12
Days Of Inventory On Hand173.47214.56193.1202.76

Pair Trading with Gogo

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Gogo position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Gogo will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Gogo Stock

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Moving against Gogo Stock

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  0.77ATEX Anterix Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.76VEON VEONPairCorr
  0.67PHI PLDT Inc ADRPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Gogo could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Gogo when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Gogo - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Gogo Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Gogo is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Gogo moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Gogo Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Gogo can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Gogo Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gogo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gogo Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gogo Inc Stock:
Check out Gogo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Will Wireless Telecommunication Services sector continue expanding? Could Gogo diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gogo. Market participants price Gogo higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Gogo data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
12.764
Earnings Share
(0.05)
Revenue Per Share
6.186
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.224
Return On Assets
0.0855
Investors evaluate Gogo Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Gogo's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Gogo's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gogo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gogo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Gogo's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.