Ww Grainger Stock Price Patterns

GWW Stock  USD 1,155  58.82  5.37%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of WW Grainger's stock price is slightly above 60. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling GWW, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of WW Grainger's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of WW Grainger and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from WW Grainger's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with WW Grainger, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting WW Grainger's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
9.6542
EPS Estimate Current Year
43.844
EPS Estimate Next Year
48.6361
Wall Street Target Price
1.1 K
Using WW Grainger hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of WW Grainger from the perspective of WW Grainger response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards WW Grainger using WW Grainger's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GWW using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of WW Grainger's stock price.

WW Grainger Short Interest

An investor who is long WW Grainger may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about WW Grainger and may potentially protect profits, hedge WW Grainger with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
K
Short Percent
0.0357
Short Ratio
5.26
Shares Short Prior Month
1.3 M
50 Day MA
K

WW Grainger Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to WW Grainger's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in GWW. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding GWW can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around WW Grainger. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of WW Grainger's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about WW Grainger.

WW Grainger Implied Volatility

    
  0.26  
WW Grainger's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of WW Grainger stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if WW Grainger's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that WW Grainger stock will not fluctuate a lot when WW Grainger's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in WW Grainger to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GWW because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

WW Grainger after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1165.83  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current GWW contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that WW Grainger will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0163% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With WW Grainger trading at USD 1155.0, that is roughly USD 0.19 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating WW Grainger's daily price movement you should consider acquiring WW Grainger options at the current volatility level of 0.26%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out WW Grainger Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy GWW Stock please use our How to Invest in WW Grainger guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of WW Grainger's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0401,1891,191
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1641,1651,167
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
984.681,0821,201
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
10.0510.4110.98
Details

WW Grainger After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of WW Grainger at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in WW Grainger or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of WW Grainger, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

WW Grainger Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting WW Grainger's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on WW Grainger's historical news coverage. WW Grainger's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,040 and 1,167, respectively. We have considered WW Grainger's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1,155
1,166
After-hype Price
1,167
Upside
WW Grainger is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of WW Grainger is based on 3 months time horizon.

WW Grainger Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as WW Grainger is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading WW Grainger backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with WW Grainger, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
1.46
  10.83 
  0.38 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,155
1,166
0.94 
4.45  
Notes

WW Grainger Hype Timeline

On the 4th of February WW Grainger is traded for 1,155. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 10.83, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.38. GWW is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1165.83 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 4.45%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.94%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on WW Grainger is about 127.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,155. The company reported the last year's revenue of 17.17 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.99 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 6.94 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out WW Grainger Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy GWW Stock please use our How to Invest in WW Grainger guide.

WW Grainger Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to WW Grainger's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict WW Grainger's future price movements. Getting to know how WW Grainger's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how WW Grainger may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FERGFerguson Plc 8.58 10 per month 1.98  0.01  2.77 (2.56) 11.07 
FASTFastenal Company 1.89 8 per month 1.04  0.10  2.92 (1.98) 6.62 
AMEAmetek Inc 2.40 9 per month 0.51  0.20  2.39 (1.34) 9.36 
ROPRoper Technologies(0.82)8 per month 0.00 (0.24) 1.54 (2.41) 12.33 
FERFerrovial SE 0.13 7 per month 0.90  0.06  2.60 (1.93) 6.80 
CARRCarrier Global Corp 0.1 9 per month 1.37 (0.01) 4.09 (2.24) 6.58 
PAYXPaychex(0.33)7 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.32 (3.16) 6.16 
ROKRockwell Automation(0.34)8 per month 1.27  0.13  2.73 (1.91) 8.52 
OTISOtis Worldwide Corp(0.62)8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.38 (2.00) 4.47 
PCARPACCAR Inc 0.42 8 per month 0.62  0.24  3.68 (1.52) 7.16 

WW Grainger Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GWW price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GWW using various technical indicators. When you analyze GWW charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About WW Grainger Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of WW Grainger stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as WW Grainger, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of WW Grainger based on analysis of WW Grainger hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to WW Grainger's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to WW Grainger's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.009480.0081680.0073510.0121
Price To Sales Ratio2.513.02.72.84

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Additional Tools for GWW Stock Analysis

When running WW Grainger's price analysis, check to measure WW Grainger's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WW Grainger is operating at the current time. Most of WW Grainger's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WW Grainger's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WW Grainger's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WW Grainger to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.