Hippo Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| HIPO Stock | USD 32.06 3.30 11.47% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
82
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.33) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.29) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.11) | Wall Street Target Price 27.6667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.91) |
Using Hippo Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hippo Holdings from the perspective of Hippo Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hippo Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hippo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hippo Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 32.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hippo |
Hippo Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hippo Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hippo Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hippo Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hippo Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hippo Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hippo Holdings' historical news coverage. Hippo Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.32 and 36.80, respectively. We have considered Hippo Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hippo Holdings is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hippo Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hippo Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hippo Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hippo Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hippo Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.86 | 4.74 | 0.58 | 0.37 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.06 | 32.06 | 0.00 |
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Hippo Holdings Hype Timeline
Hippo Holdings is currently traded for 32.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.58, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.37. Hippo is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.86%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hippo Holdings is about 1113.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.69. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Hippo Holdings was currently reported as 12.94. The company recorded a loss per share of 5.17. Hippo Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:25 split on the 30th of September 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Hippo Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hippo Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hippo Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hippo Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Hippo Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hippo Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ICCH | ICC Holdings | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.34 | (0.18) | 0.83 | (0.56) | 3.36 | |
| EIG | Employers Holdings | (0.06) | 7 per month | 1.02 | 0.06 | 2.46 | (1.95) | 11.24 | |
| AMSF | AMERISAFE | 3.89 | 6 per month | 0.87 | 0.1 | 2.32 | (2.12) | 12.74 | |
| NMIH | NMI Holdings | (0.59) | 10 per month | 1.74 | (0.07) | 2.37 | (2.55) | 9.75 | |
| ITIC | Investors Title | (2.42) | 8 per month | 1.38 | 0.14 | 3.89 | (2.34) | 12.40 | |
| JRVR | James River Group | 0.08 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.47 | (5.22) | 31.93 | |
| ESNT | Essent Group | (3.73) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.88 | (2.14) | 13.14 | |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corp | (0.38) | 9 per month | 1.70 | (0.03) | 2.01 | (2.36) | 8.56 | |
| RDN | Radian Group | (0.57) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.36 | (2.24) | 11.88 |
Hippo Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hippo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hippo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hippo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Hippo Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hippo Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hippo Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hippo Holdings based on analysis of Hippo Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hippo Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hippo Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Net Debt To EBITDA | 2.18 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.5 | Intangibles To Total Assets | 0.0679 | 0.0419 | 0.0496 | 0.0894 |
Story Coverage note for Hippo Holdings
The number of cover stories for Hippo Holdings depends on current market conditions and Hippo Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hippo Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hippo Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hippo Holdings Short Properties
Hippo Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Hippo Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hippo Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hippo Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hippo Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 142.1 M |
Check out Hippo Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Hippo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Hippo Holdings guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Insurance Brokers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hippo Holdings. If investors know Hippo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hippo Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (5.17) | Revenue Per Share 13.671 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.655 | Return On Assets (0.05) | Return On Equity (0.31) |
The market value of Hippo Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hippo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hippo Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hippo Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hippo Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hippo Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hippo Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hippo Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hippo Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.