Helmerich And Payne Stock Price Prediction
| HP Stock | USD 32.46 0.16 0.50% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.99) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1986 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.456 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8351 | Wall Street Target Price 31.7333 |
Using Helmerich hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Helmerich and Payne from the perspective of Helmerich response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Helmerich using Helmerich's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Helmerich using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Helmerich's stock price.
Helmerich Short Interest
An investor who is long Helmerich may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Helmerich and may potentially protect profits, hedge Helmerich with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 21.8705 | Short Percent 0.0947 | Short Ratio 4.67 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.8 M | 50 Day MA 29.2524 |
Helmerich and Payne Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Helmerich's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Helmerich. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Helmerich can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Helmerich and Payne. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Helmerich's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Helmerich.
Helmerich Implied Volatility | 0.83 |
Helmerich's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Helmerich and Payne stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Helmerich's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Helmerich stock will not fluctuate a lot when Helmerich's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Helmerich to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Helmerich because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Helmerich after-hype prediction price | USD 32.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Helmerich contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Helmerich and Payne will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0519% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Helmerich trading at USD 32.46, that is roughly USD 0.0168 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Helmerich's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Helmerich and Payne options at the current volatility level of 0.83%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Helmerich | Build AI portfolio with Helmerich Stock |
Helmerich After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Helmerich at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Helmerich or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Helmerich, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Helmerich Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Helmerich's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Helmerich's historical news coverage. Helmerich's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.09 and 34.67, respectively. We have considered Helmerich's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Helmerich is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Helmerich and Payne is based on 3 months time horizon.
Helmerich Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Helmerich is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Helmerich backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Helmerich, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.29 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
32.46 | 32.38 | 0.25 |
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Helmerich Hype Timeline
As of January 27, 2026 Helmerich and Payne is listed for 32.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Helmerich is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 32.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Helmerich is about 7156.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.47. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.21. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Helmerich and Payne recorded a loss per share of 1.66. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 10th of July 2006. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Helmerich Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Helmerich Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Helmerich's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Helmerich's future price movements. Getting to know how Helmerich's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Helmerich may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PTEN | Patterson UTI Energy | 0.05 | 9 per month | 2.52 | 0.09 | 5.89 | (4.64) | 17.67 | |
| TDW | Tidewater | (0.19) | 8 per month | 2.58 | 0.12 | 6.86 | (5.04) | 15.89 | |
| CIVI | Civitas Resources | (0.47) | 10 per month | 2.35 | (0) | 3.75 | (4.19) | 11.71 | |
| INSW | International Seaways | (0.84) | 7 per month | 1.33 | 0.14 | 3.52 | (2.42) | 14.71 | |
| USAC | USA Compression Partners | 0.81 | 13 per month | 1.48 | 0.06 | 3.03 | (2.59) | 10.45 | |
| BSM | Black Stone Minerals | 0.30 | 8 per month | 1.22 | 0.12 | 2.11 | (1.77) | 6.75 | |
| OII | Oceaneering International | (0.65) | 10 per month | 1.89 | 0.10 | 5.21 | (3.35) | 12.51 | |
| DNN | Denison Mines Corp | 0.05 | 9 per month | 2.77 | 0.12 | 6.47 | (5.13) | 18.32 | |
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | 1.27 | 9 per month | 1.27 | 0.08 | 2.18 | (1.69) | 10.05 | |
| LBRT | Liberty Oilfield Services | (0.01) | 10 per month | 3.15 | 0.12 | 5.41 | (6.06) | 18.46 |
Helmerich Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Helmerich price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Helmerich using various technical indicators. When you analyze Helmerich charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Helmerich Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Helmerich stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Helmerich and Payne, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Helmerich based on analysis of Helmerich hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Helmerich's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Helmerich's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.056 | 0.0459 | 0.0231 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.09 | 0.59 | 0.64 |
Pair Trading with Helmerich
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Helmerich position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Helmerich will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Helmerich Stock
| 0.9 | PDS | Precision Drilling | PairCorr |
| 0.92 | INVX | Innovex International | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | PTEN | Patterson UTI Energy Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
Moving against Helmerich Stock
| 0.81 | MSFT | Microsoft Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | SDI | Stampede Drilling | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | AAPL | Apple Inc Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.31 | META | Meta Platforms Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Helmerich could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Helmerich when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Helmerich - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Helmerich and Payne to buy it.
The correlation of Helmerich is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Helmerich moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Helmerich and Payne moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Helmerich can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Helmerich Stock Analysis
When running Helmerich's price analysis, check to measure Helmerich's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Helmerich is operating at the current time. Most of Helmerich's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Helmerich's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Helmerich's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Helmerich to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.