Hilltop Holdings Stock Price Prediction

HTH Stock  USD 32.27  0.62  1.96%   
As of 25th of November 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Hilltop Holdings' share price is at 58. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hilltop Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hilltop Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hilltop Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hilltop Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.20)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.5225
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.56
Wall Street Target Price
33.3333
Using Hilltop Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hilltop Holdings from the perspective of Hilltop Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hilltop Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hilltop because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hilltop Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 32.27  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Hilltop Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Hilltop Stock please use our How to Invest in Hilltop Holdings guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hilltop Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.2431.2733.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.9931.0233.04
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.6030.3333.67
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.350.380.40
Details

Hilltop Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hilltop Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hilltop Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hilltop Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hilltop Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hilltop Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hilltop Holdings' historical news coverage. Hilltop Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.24 and 34.30, respectively. We have considered Hilltop Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
32.27
32.27
After-hype Price
34.30
Upside
Hilltop Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hilltop Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hilltop Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hilltop Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hilltop Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hilltop Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
2.03
 0.00  
 0.00  
7 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
32.27
32.27
0.00 
10,150  
Notes

Hilltop Holdings Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November Hilltop Holdings is traded for 32.27. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Hilltop is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hilltop Holdings is about 650.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.27. About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hilltop Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.14. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Hilltop Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Hilltop Stock please use our How to Invest in Hilltop Holdings guide.

Hilltop Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hilltop Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hilltop Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Hilltop Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hilltop Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Hilltop Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hilltop price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hilltop using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hilltop charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hilltop Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hilltop Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hilltop Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hilltop Holdings based on analysis of Hilltop Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hilltop Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hilltop Holdings's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01370.02030.01820.0188
Price To Sales Ratio1.553.022.733.07

Story Coverage note for Hilltop Holdings

The number of cover stories for Hilltop Holdings depends on current market conditions and Hilltop Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hilltop Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hilltop Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Hilltop Holdings Short Properties

Hilltop Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Hilltop Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hilltop Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hilltop Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hilltop Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding65 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

Complementary Tools for Hilltop Stock analysis

When running Hilltop Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Hilltop Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilltop Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Hilltop Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilltop Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilltop Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilltop Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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