Hydrofarm Holdings Group Stock Price Prediction
| HYFM Stock | USD 0.64 0.03 4.92% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.625 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.21) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.93) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.72) | Wall Street Target Price 0.7 |
Using Hydrofarm Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hydrofarm Holdings Group from the perspective of Hydrofarm Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hydrofarm Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hydrofarm because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hydrofarm Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 0.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hydrofarm |
Hydrofarm Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hydrofarm Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hydrofarm Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hydrofarm Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hydrofarm Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hydrofarm Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hydrofarm Holdings' historical news coverage. Hydrofarm Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 5.61, respectively. We have considered Hydrofarm Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hydrofarm Holdings is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hydrofarm Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hydrofarm Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hydrofarm Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hydrofarm Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hydrofarm Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 4.97 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.64 | 0.64 | 0.00 |
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Hydrofarm Holdings Hype Timeline
Hydrofarm Holdings is currently traded for 0.64. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Hydrofarm is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hydrofarm Holdings is about 21743.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.65. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.12. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hydrofarm Holdings recorded a loss per share of 1.4. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Hydrofarm Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hydrofarm Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hydrofarm Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hydrofarm Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Hydrofarm Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hydrofarm Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hydrofarm Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hydrofarm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hydrofarm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hydrofarm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Hydrofarm Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hydrofarm Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hydrofarm Holdings Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hydrofarm Holdings based on analysis of Hydrofarm Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hydrofarm Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hydrofarm Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 32.06 | 18.25 | 27.21 | PTB Ratio | 1.78 | 0.2 | 0.14 |
Story Coverage note for Hydrofarm Holdings
The number of cover stories for Hydrofarm Holdings depends on current market conditions and Hydrofarm Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hydrofarm Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hydrofarm Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hydrofarm Holdings Short Properties
Hydrofarm Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Hydrofarm Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hydrofarm Holdings Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hydrofarm Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hydrofarm Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.3 M |
Check out Hydrofarm Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hydrofarm Holdings. If investors know Hydrofarm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hydrofarm Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.625 | Earnings Share (1.40) | Revenue Per Share 4.361 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Hydrofarm Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hydrofarm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hydrofarm Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hydrofarm Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hydrofarm Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hydrofarm Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hydrofarm Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hydrofarm Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hydrofarm Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.