Ingram Micro Holding Stock Price Prediction
| INGM Stock | 22.16 0.16 0.73% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ingram Micro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ingram Micro Holding from the perspective of Ingram Micro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ingram Micro to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ingram because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ingram Micro after-hype prediction price | USD 21.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ingram |
Ingram Micro After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ingram Micro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ingram Micro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ingram Micro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ingram Micro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ingram Micro's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ingram Micro's historical news coverage. Ingram Micro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.08 and 2,238, respectively. We have considered Ingram Micro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ingram Micro is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ingram Micro Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ingram Micro Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ingram Micro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ingram Micro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ingram Micro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
41.25 | 204.22 | 21.86 | 18.92 | 6 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.16 | 21.64 | 2.37 |
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Ingram Micro Hype Timeline
Ingram Micro Holding is currently traded for 22.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -21.86, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 18.92. Ingram is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 21.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.37%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 41.25%. The volatility of related hype on Ingram Micro is about 44516.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 41.08. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Ingram Micro Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ingram Micro Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ingram Micro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ingram Micro's future price movements. Getting to know how Ingram Micro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ingram Micro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PMNXF | Perseus Mining Limited | 0.08 | 10 per month | 3.44 | (0.02) | 6.32 | (5.71) | 20.57 | |
| WHTGF | Mangazeya Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SG | Sweetgreen | 4.41 | 9 per month | 3.34 | 0.05 | 6.33 | (6.27) | 15.89 | |
| PWWRF | Cleantech Power Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CVWFF | CVW CleanTech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.64 | (4.48) | 28.54 | |
| DENN | Dennys Corp | (0.19) | 9 per month | 3.63 | 0.01 | 6.40 | (4.19) | 26.32 | |
| RICK | RCI Hospitality Holdings | (0.53) | 6 per month | 1.45 | 0.05 | 3.64 | (2.80) | 10.05 | |
| RHP | Ryman Hospitality Properties | (0.10) | 8 per month | 0.91 | 0.05 | 1.94 | (1.74) | 7.06 |
Ingram Micro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ingram price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ingram using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ingram charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Ingram Micro Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ingram Micro stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ingram Micro Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ingram Micro based on analysis of Ingram Micro hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ingram Micro's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ingram Micro's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Ingram Micro
The number of cover stories for Ingram Micro depends on current market conditions and Ingram Micro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ingram Micro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ingram Micro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Ingram Micro Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Wholesale space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ingram Micro. If investors know Ingram will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ingram Micro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Ingram Micro Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ingram that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ingram Micro's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ingram Micro's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ingram Micro's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ingram Micro's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ingram Micro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ingram Micro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ingram Micro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.