Invitation Homes Stock Price Prediction
| INVH Stock | USD 33.82 0.12 0.36% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.18 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4941 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7423 | Wall Street Target Price 38 |
Using Invitation Homes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Invitation Homes from the perspective of Invitation Homes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Invitation Homes Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Invitation Homes' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Invitation. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Invitation can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Invitation Homes. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Invitation Homes' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Invitation Homes.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Invitation Homes to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Invitation because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Invitation Homes after-hype prediction price | USD 33.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Invitation |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invitation Homes' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invitation Homes After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Invitation Homes at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Invitation Homes or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Invitation Homes, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Invitation Homes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Invitation Homes' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Invitation Homes' historical news coverage. Invitation Homes' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.37 and 35.23, respectively. We have considered Invitation Homes' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Invitation Homes is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Invitation Homes is based on 3 months time horizon.
Invitation Homes Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Invitation Homes is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Invitation Homes backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Invitation Homes, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.44 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.82 | 33.80 | 0.06 |
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Invitation Homes Hype Timeline
Invitation Homes is currently traded for 33.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Invitation is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 33.8. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Invitation Homes is about 654.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.84. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Invitation Homes was currently reported as 16.19. The company last dividend was issued on the 26th of September 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Invitation Homes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Invitation Homes Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Invitation Homes' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Invitation Homes' future price movements. Getting to know how Invitation Homes' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Invitation Homes may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMH | American Homes 4 | (0.20) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.93 | (2.05) | 6.31 | |
| MAA | Mid America Apartment Communities | 1.21 | 8 per month | 0.95 | (0.03) | 1.87 | (1.76) | 5.34 | |
| CPT | Camden Property Trust | 1.84 | 9 per month | 1.07 | (0.06) | 1.92 | (1.71) | 5.03 | |
| SUI | Sun Communities | (0.71) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.26 | (2.32) | 9.22 | |
| COLD | Americold Realty Trust | (1.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.65 | (2.24) | 10.83 |
Invitation Homes Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Invitation price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Invitation using various technical indicators. When you analyze Invitation charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Invitation Homes Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Invitation Homes stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Invitation Homes, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Invitation Homes based on analysis of Invitation Homes hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Invitation Homes's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Invitation Homes's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.015 | 0.0298 | 0.0306 | 0.0426 | Price To Sales Ratio | 13.13 | 8.11 | 8.58 | 6.76 |
Story Coverage note for Invitation Homes
The number of cover stories for Invitation Homes depends on current market conditions and Invitation Homes' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Invitation Homes is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Invitation Homes' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Invitation Homes Short Properties
Invitation Homes' future price predictability will typically decrease when Invitation Homes' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Invitation Homes often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Invitation Homes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invitation Homes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 613.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 700.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Invitation Stock analysis
When running Invitation Homes' price analysis, check to measure Invitation Homes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invitation Homes is operating at the current time. Most of Invitation Homes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invitation Homes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invitation Homes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invitation Homes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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